Let's suppose the Supreme Court ordered the tax returns to be released tomorrow morning and - yes, this is clearly a hypothetical - let's suppose Trump and his accountants obeyed the Court and actually released them first thing tomorrow.
What do you think would happen?
Here's what I think would occur:
The press would go buck wild trying to get their hands on the records, picking through them, getting experts to pick through them with a fine-toothed comb and the airwaves would be saturated with everyone and their mother analyzing, discussing, dissecting and pontificating about what's in those documents. That's all anyone would be talking about. But most people would be so confused
Meanwhile, Trump and his cronies and enablers would be spinning like crazy, doing everything could to throw sand in everyone's faces, confusing and obfuscating and trying to gaslight everyone into believing that the entry on line 74 on Schedule A doesn't really mean what it says it means. And now let's look at page 215 of the Supplemental Schedule. That proves he did nothing wrong. "Nothing to see here!!!"
And while that's happening, some guy known as "Biden WHO?" would be trying to get some attention and coverage. But everyone would be too busy swimming around in Trump's tax returns to notice him, much less talk about anything he's saying or doing or plans to do for the country if he's elected president.
It would be a big mess with little light or air. We'd all be confused. But one thing would be certain. Not one single mind would be changed. The majority of the country that knows Trump is a crook will still know Trump is a crook. The dwindling minority of voters in Trump's cult either will still not believe Trump is a crook or think there's nothing wrong with him being a crook. And anyone who doesn't fall within those groups will likely be so frustrated and disgusted that no one is talking about any issues they care about, they'll just tune out.
In other words, releasing the tax returns before November won't have any positive effect on the outcome of the election and, in fact, could actually hurt us by distracting from the issues we need to be focusing on.
So, let's step back into the real world and look at where we are. The U.S. Supreme Court today UNANIMOUSLY smacked down Donald Trump, telling him, "No, dude. You are NOT above the law. Take that lame-assed argument out of here." The Court humiliated him today. And he realized today that he is going to have to release those documents. And whether he does it today, in September, in December, or next year, a state court prosecutor is waiting for him. And he can't delay or pardon or bully or shish-talk his way out of that. And that is scaring him to death.
Because here's the thing - Trump couldn't care less whether the voters see his tax returns. He knows that nothing in them is going to make any difference in the election. What he is REALLY afraid of are the prosecutors because he knows those documents are a petri dish of evidence of his decades of criminality. And they're going to take him down.
And, best of all, unreleased, they're just hanging over his head like the sword of Damocles, making them a much more effective weapon than they would be if they'd been spit into the public arena in a massive document dump. From now until November, we can add "What is he hiding?" to the repertoire of refrains that will eventually drum Donald Trump out of office.
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