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bluewater

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Member since: Fri Jun 7, 2019, 03:43 PM
Number of posts: 4,169

Journal Archives

The Sanders and Biden Families Have Been Cashing In for Years

https://twitter.com/PeterAtlantic/status/1234512028515078144

"Joe Biden likes to say he was the poorest man in the Senate. Bernie Sanders rails against the establishment. But family members have benefited from the Democratic front-runners’ political careers for years."

The solution staring us in the face: Vote for Senator Elizabeth Warren.





Note: The Atlantic is a lean left news source

The Atlantic media bias rating is Lean Left.

As of August 2018, 2,178 AllSides readers agree that The Atlantic's media bias is Lean Left.
About The Atlantic
The Atlantic is an American magazine (founded as The Atlantic Monthly) in Boston, Massachusetts, in 1857. It was created as a literary and cultural commentary magazine. It quickly achieved a national reputation, which it has held for more than 150 years. It was important for recognizing and publishing new writers and poets, and encouraging major careers. It published leading writers' commentary on abolition, education, and other major issues in contemporary political affairs.

https://www.allsides.com/news-source/atlantic

538: Sanders at 28.8% leads by 11.7 points

538 Polling Average:

Sanders 28.8 <-- 11.7 point lead

Biden 17.1%

Bloomberg 14.9%

Warren 12.5%

Klobuchar 5.1%


https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/national/

RCP POLLS CALIFORNIA: Sanders at 34.7% with a 16.7 point lead

RCP POLLS Average for California:


Sanders 34.7% <-- 16.7pt lead

Biden 18%

Warren 15.3%

Bloomberg 13%


https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/ca/california_democratic_primary-6879.html


The Economist: Sanders breaks 30%, takes 12pt lead

The Economist Polling Model:

Sanders 30%

Bloomberg 18%

Biden 16%

Warren 11%

Klobuchar 6%


https://projects.economist.com/democratic-primaries-2020/

The Obamacare Lawsuit should be topic #1 at the March 15th debate

https://twitter.com/sahilkapur/status/1234489250466422788

https://twitter.com/davidaxelrod/status/1234494001077727233

Despite all the arguments over health insurance in our Democratic primary debates, no one has addressed the Republicans' push to get the entire ACA thrown out.

I want to hear what the candidates plan to do when the Republican dominated Supreme Court rules that the Affordable Care Act, aka Obamacare, is unconstitutional.




Pete Buttigieg is out. Which candidates will his supporters flow to?

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1234263168274268160

Pete Buttigieg was a truly transformational candidate as our first openly gay candidate for President.

His successes were groundbreaking and he deserves our respect and gratitude.

David Axelrod: Bernie Sanders has a fundraising machine. This is no small advantage.

https://twitter.com/davidaxelrod/status/1234127290830872576

"Bernie Sanders’ campaign raised $46.5 million in February"

That is a lot of money.





Warren campaign manager: we'll take it to convention

https://twitter.com/sahilkapur/status/1234166469354762244

"Raised $29M in February"

Nice!

As a Warren supporter, here's hoping that she does well on Super Tuesday!

If she gets significant delegates, her fund raising should go up.


Bernie Sanders has the advantage on Super Tuesday

The Democratic presidential campaign has produced as many questions as answers in the first four contests of the year. On Tuesday, things will begin to change, as the candidates enter what could be the decisive, if not conclusive, month in the battle for their party’s nomination.

What has been a state-by-state battle over the past month will suddenly explode into a nationalized contest on Tuesday, with establishment Democrats worried about the strength of Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) but not settled on the strongest alternative.
Former vice president Joe Biden, with his blowout victory Saturday in South Carolina, made a strong case that he should be that person, but Super Tuesday voters will barely have time to digest those results before they, and the candidates, are plunged into the biggest and most important day of the Democratic nominating campaign.

By the time the votes from Tuesday’s contests are counted, and all the delegates allocated, at least two things should become clearer. One is whether Sanders has emerged with an insurmountable lead in the delegate race. The other, if Sanders’s delegate lead is not so big, is whether Biden or someone else might be positioned to overtake him.
Sanders heads toward Super Tuesday’s contests in an enviable position. But given growing resistance to his candidacy among establishment Democrats, he needs a strong performance Tuesday to put a lock on becoming the delegate leader heading to the national convention in Milwaukee in July.

“Bernie is the clear front-runner, but he’s got to get a lead, and a substantial lead, to consolidate his position,” said Tad Devine, who worked for Sanders’s campaign in 2016 and who advised Andrew Yang this year.

No day on this year’s primary-caucus calendar sets up any better for Sanders than this year’s Super Tuesday. One reason is his perceived strength in California, where 415 delegates will be distributed. Other factors include the higher percentage of Latino voters in some of the Super Tuesday states, particularly Texas with its 228 delegates. Beyond that, primaries in the future are mostly closed, denying Sanders the votes of independents, one of his best constituencies.


Campaign strategists can’t say just how well Sanders will be positioned after Super Tuesday. There are simply too many variables — too many candidates, too much fluidity and too many combinations about possible outcomes. Campaigns have been modeling the states and constantly tweaking internal projections. As one strategist put it: “It’s an insane Rubik’s cube.”
...

Heading into Tuesday, the fractured opposition gives Sanders a potentially significant advantage. The senator from Vermont is the only candidate who is broadly viable across all the states and districts, meaning he is likely to break the threshold in almost every congressional or state Senate district.
The other candidates are in a more tenuous position, hovering in polls somewhere just below or just above the 15 percent threshold that determines viability for delegates. No one can predict with any certainty how any of the others will do in the district-by-district competition, but their individual and collective results will shape both their and Sanders’s delegate hauls.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/bernie-sanders-has-the-advantage-on-super-tuesday-as-rivals-jockey-to-hold-down-his-delegate-count/2020/02/29/750e8b58-5a43-11ea-9000-f3cffee23036_story.html

WTF! 538's Delegate Projection still shows Sanders in the lead?

Ok, I don't know what to say about 538 and their wildly gyrating Delegate Projections...

When Sanders won Nevada, getting 66% of the delegates, 538 projected him ahead by 700 delegates!

Now Biden had a superb SC primary getting 77% of the delegates and yet 538 STILL has Sanders projected to get more delegates.

Over 400 hundred more in fact!



Sanders 1701
Biden 1292
Bloomberg 568
Warren 196
Buttigieg 159
Klobuchar 62

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo


SO, what can we expect after Super Tuesday, another wild gyration in 538's model?



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