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Profile Information

Name: Aram Katz
Gender: Male
Hometown: Sullivan County, NY
Home country: USA
Current location: Soon to be Zhenjiang in China
Member since: Tue Mar 23, 2021, 10:44 AM
Number of posts: 4,184

About Me

Demoralized, depressed, destroyed by American immigration law written and pushed for in 1952 by two xenophobes determined to keep people out.

Journal Archives

Election prediction from non-celebrity pundit who has studied politics for the last 35 years

I know my opinions mean next to nothing since I'm not someone on TV, but here we go.

01: If the US Government didn't deny my wife her green card three times and I kept up my campaign, I believe I would have been elected into the AZ House from my district. The GOP incumbent barely won and the other Democrat was term limited. I believe the other Democrat from Yuma and me from Sells would have been together in Phoenix.

02: With that shameless plug out of the way. . .I believe the Democrats are going to pick up at least two governorships. I do believe Beto will eek out a win in Texas and I believe Maryland will flip. In my backyard, Hobbs is already above water and up by a minimum of 8% over Kelli "fruitcake" ward.

03: I see the Democrats picking up 10-15 seats in the House.

04: I see the Democrats HOLDING all seats they are defending as well as:
A: Picking up PA is definite. Doc Hollywood Carpetbagger is DOA.
B: Ohio is a probable based on trends and the fact that Vance's campaign is pretty much going nowhere.
C: Wisconsin seems to be done with Ron Johnson as he is underwater and can't crack anywhere near 45% in polls recently.

Probable flips:
A: Open Seat North Carolina: Will be a dirty, drag out race and the winner will win by .5% - 2%, but the Democrat is trending up
B: Florida: Rubio is not polling well enough and seems to be taking his re-election for granted. Val Demmings is climbing and Rubio has many negatives again him.
C: Missouri. Highly unlikely since MO has trended red since 2000, but it is an open seat.

Best case scenario: +10-15 in the House, PU six senate seats
Worst case scenario: Hold the house, pick up +3 in the Senate.

Ramification: Trumpism gets nationally rejected, Democrats still control two branches of government, and Manchin/Sinema are completely defanged.
Posted by AZLD4Candidate | Sun Aug 14, 2022, 09:14 PM (25 replies)

Illinois GOP nominee for governor Darren Bailey defends comparing abortion to Holocaust

Source: AOL News

Facing criticism for past comments comparing abortion to the Holocaust, the Republican nominee for governor in Illinois is refusing to apologize — and claiming that a group of rabbis backed the comparison.

“The Jewish community themselves have told me that I’m right,” Darren Bailey, a GOP state senator who is trying to unseat Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker, said in a radio interview over the weekend. “All the people at the Chabads that we met with and the Jewish rabbis, they said, ‘No, you’re actually right.’”

In a 2017 Facebook video that resurfaced earlier this month, Bailey said that “the attempted extermination of the Jews of World War II doesn’t even compare on a shadow of the life that has been lost with abortion since its legalization.”

Pritzker, who is Jewish, condemned the comparison.

Read more: https://www.aol.com/news/illinois-gop-nominee-governor-darren-190150134.html

What a piece of pig vomit. And of course he would use that comparison, and of course he would double down.
Posted by AZLD4Candidate | Wed Aug 10, 2022, 09:51 PM (17 replies)

Facebook Turned Over Chat Messages Between Mother and Daughter Now Charged Over Abortion

Source: AOL News

Facebook turned over the chats of a mother and her daughter to Nebraska police after they were served with a warrant as part of an investigation into an illegal abortion, court documents show.

The investigation, which was launched in April before the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade, is one of the few known instances of Facebook’s turning over information to help law enforcement officials pursue an abortion case — but it is also an example of a scenario that abortion rights experts have warned will be more common as all abortions becomes illegal in many states.

Madison County prosecutors say Jessica Burgess, 41, acquired and gave abortion pills to her daughter, Celeste, who was 17 at the time, and then helped her bury and then rebury the fetus. The Norfolk Daily News first reported the case. The two were charged last month and have pleaded not guilty. A lawyer for the two women didn’t respond to a request for comment.

According to a sworn affidavit from Detective Ben McBride of the Norfolk Police Investigations Unit, police started with a tip from a woman who described herself as a friend of Celeste’s who said she saw her take the first pill in April.

Read more: https://www.aol.com/news/facebook-turned-over-chat-messages-001525289.html

More reasons to hate Facebook and Zuckerborg!
Posted by AZLD4Candidate | Wed Aug 10, 2022, 09:41 PM (26 replies)

I am so tired of conservaturd smug

The delusions in their lives come out in everything they say.

They truly believe they:

01.rise above the fray and never personally attack people.
02.have a monopoly on patriotism and God
03.have a monopoly on facts and truth
04.believe they are superior
05.never get angry and it's liberals that are always angry and complaining
06.win every argument or debate when their opponent rolls their eyes and gives up
07.never move goalposts
08.never have to give an inch because they are the only "real" Americans
09.can do or say anything and accuse people that get annoyed with them of being "triggered" and "woke."
10.are truly great to be around

I remember a bumper sticker: "conservative lifestyle: work, pray, be happy."

Smug. Aloof. Haughty.

It's beyond infuriating.
Posted by AZLD4Candidate | Wed Aug 10, 2022, 03:39 AM (13 replies)

For someone not in the States any more, what is RW echo chamber saying Re: Kansas vote?

Fraud? Stolen? Damn liberals?
Posted by AZLD4Candidate | Thu Aug 4, 2022, 08:20 AM (7 replies)

China, as a power, is dying. All they have left is propaganda, censorship, and bluster.

Pelosi's trip was the proof.

I get told all the time I know nothing about China. I only lived there for 12 years and married a Chinese national. The CCP has backed itself into a corner over the South China Sea, Taiwan, and their economy.

To admit anything that resembles a march back is a loss of face. It's better to keep plowing on in the wrong direction than admit a small defeat or a mistake. Their society and their army have been instructed to let the thinking by done by those in power and as a result, those in power have literally killed the goose that laid the golden egg.

This has been Chinese culture since the CCP took over and it's all over the population. The Chinese do not do anything that could be construed as weakness. They have a very tenuous hold on power as the house of card economy implodes at a fast rate.

To keep up their power, the CCP will lash out at critics worldwide, say there is an anti-Chinese bias worldwide, stomp their feet, and ultimately do nothing except censor anything that makes them look slightly bad. So they beat the drums of war knowing their people will get distracted in the jingoism and xenophobia the CCP has made part of their agenda.

As their manufacturing slows down (due to their covid zero policy, similar to the Great Leap Forward, as their banking system loses all its trust, and as their house of cards real estate market collapses, China will do what all countries with unaccountable, above the law leaders do. . .drum up wars, namely with Taiwan, Hong Kong, and anyone who violates their idiocy in the South China Sea.

China is the thinnest of paper tigers. They are good at dominating unarmed people and bullying nations they consider weaker and inferior. . .but when pressed by someone stronger, the CCP whines complains, hides behind the line "the Chinese people will not stand for this" and then gets passive-aggressive.

It's over. China will not recover and has been exposed by Pelosi's trip. Good work, Madame Speaker.
Posted by AZLD4Candidate | Wed Aug 3, 2022, 06:54 AM (20 replies)

NFL suspends Deshaun Watson 6 games for personal conduct violations

Source: Yahoo Sports

The NFL suspended Cleveland Browns quarterback Deshaun Watson for six games on Monday for violating the league’s personal conduct policy.

The decision was rendered in response to the NFL’s investigation of multiple women who filed civil lawsuits against Watson before he settled with 23 of them; one of those suits remains. The women, whom Watson hired for massages, accused the QB of sexual misconduct or sexual assault.

Watson will be eligible to return to the Browns in Week 7.

As part of its probe, the league’s investigators spoke to at least 10 of the women who originally filed litigation against Watson. A source told Yahoo Sports the NFL obtained information from the pretrial process in those civil lawsuits, none of which was sealed by presiding judges. The pretrial process included Watson sitting for multiple depositions and ultimately concluded on June 30.

Read more: https://sports.yahoo.com/nfl-suspends-deshaun-watson-6-games-for-personal-conduct-violations-122422200.html

Thirty women. . .six games. Ladies, the NFL doesn't care about you. Microcosm of the US in general these days.

Don't read the comments unless you want to read things about thugs and "black privilege," whatever the hell that is.
Posted by AZLD4Candidate | Mon Aug 1, 2022, 08:29 AM (38 replies)

RI anti-Jewish craphole bar seems to have a douche for an owner too

It's like Amy's Baking Company in Maricopa County.

Someone wants to go out of business.
Posted by AZLD4Candidate | Tue Jul 26, 2022, 04:27 PM (5 replies)

It has finally happened. I sold my first screenplay

The one that won me eight awards over the last 11 months is being sold. I need to fill out an NDA and I get the purchase agreement.

It is not being optioned!!!
Posted by AZLD4Candidate | Tue Jul 26, 2022, 03:48 PM (37 replies)

A North Carolina city hired a Black town manager. Then its entire police force resigned.

Source: Yahoo via AOL

Less than a week after the entire police department in Kenly, N.C., announced their resignation, citing a “toxic” and “hostile” work environment, elected officials from the town of about 2,000 residents have gone silent on a plan for law enforcement moving forward. The July 20 mass resignation of the department’s police chief, four full-time officers and two town clerks, who are all white, came less than two months after the town hired a new town manager, who is Black, leaving many critics to question whether race was at the core of the department’s sudden collapse.

Justine Jones, who has worked for 16 years in local governments in Minnesota, Virginia, South Carolina and North Carolina, was selected to be town manager after a "nationwide search" of 30 candidates, according to a town press release. She began the job on June 2.

Kenly is 36% Black, 20% Hispanic and 36% non-Hispanic white.

Read more: https://www.aol.com/news/north-carolina-city-hired-black-224423255.html

The more things change, the more things stay the same.
Posted by AZLD4Candidate | Tue Jul 26, 2022, 03:31 AM (63 replies)
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