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Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)

15. Not this again

Reply to Renew Deal (Original post)

Sun Sep 23, 2018, 10:50 PM

Sep 2018

Always ignore today when making forecasts.

Retreat 24 hours and how you would have answered the same question. Even that method allows far too much weight to recency but at least it is superior to the preferred approach.

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What are the chances Kavanaugh withdraws before Thursday? [View all] Renew Deal Sep 2018 OP

I think there will come a point where his family will say Haggis for Breakfast Sep 2018 #1

I am sure the wife knows something about his crude behavior toward women Equinox Moon Sep 2018 #2

We'll probably see her next to him Haggis for Breakfast Sep 2018 #8

Doubt, is a powerful elixir. The wife doubts now, as will the daughters, even if they stand by him Equinox Moon Sep 2018 #9

They better prepare these girls Haggis for Breakfast Sep 2018 #12

It May Depend on Whether or Not Avenatti Does a News Conference dlk Sep 2018 #3

I'm still not sure. Jarqui Sep 2018 #4

I don't think he'll withdraw. Republicans need him on the Court too much. OliverQ Sep 2018 #5

I agree. At this point it would a humiliating defeat underpants Sep 2018 #6

Maybe, just maybe, they won't have the votes. Equinox Moon Sep 2018 #11

I think he will have to withdraw because they will not be able to get the votes womanofthehills Sep 2018 #18

I'm going to bet he's out by the end of Monday. pnwest Sep 2018 #7

The frying pan is pretty hot now. Equinox Moon Sep 2018 #10

Collins and Murkowski torius Sep 2018 #13

Amy Coney Barrett oberliner Sep 2018 #14

Not this again Awsi Dooger Sep 2018 #15

I was speculating on withdrawal this morning based on 24 hour old information Algernon Moncrieff Sep 2018 #17

I'd say 50/50 Algernon Moncrieff Sep 2018 #16

4% think he'll lose a confirmation vote. You optimists, you. Garrett78 Sep 2018 #19