General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: BTRTN: The Real Reason to Impeach Donald Trump [View all]louis c
(8,652 posts)Don't kid yourself. These candidates read the polls and know where the General Election voters stand right now. Warren knows she has to be bold, because her numbers are in the tank, so she could care less about the General Election, she needs the nomination, so she'll cater to the base.
Me, I know this whole thing boils down to 7% of the vote in November. The 7% who voted for Obama twice and switched to Trump in 2016. Those are getable votes. Those voters align with Biden. Those voters are moderate in their positions and feeling unappreciated. They move back and forth on Trump, that's why Trump may be 44% approval in one poll on month and 39% in the same poll a month later. These voters are not part of Trump's base. They vote on feelings. They're not well informed. These are the votes that matter. That's why in Democratic base voters who pull us away from these voters to get their votes end up costing us in the long run. For Trump to win, he needs this 7% to vote for him and a significant portion of our base to stay home. I want both in our column.
Pragmatically, there can not be a sane person who wants Trump out of office so much that they favor impeachment, even if we don't get a conviction in the Senate. That That person will stay home of vote 3rd party in November 2020 because Democratic leadership didn't follow their desires in 2019. I think we can count on that person, either way. I want the vast majority of that 7%