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The_jackalope

(1,660 posts)

11. Once they're hospitalized, presumably they are identified as C-19

Reply to genxlib (Reply #10)

Mon Mar 23, 2020, 04:41 PM

Mar 2020

In terms of preparation of the medical system, yes it matters very much. But there is now more than 14 days of data out there, so the general projections are getting more solid. I'm more concerned that they are averaged over a large number of regions, so it may tend to over or underestimate the future conditions in any particular place.

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US cases have been increasing by 33%/day for the last 3 weeks. [View all] The_jackalope Mar 2020 OP

As testing increases, incidents will increase. The number to watch is deaths. Unfortunately. dem4decades Mar 2020 #1

Deaths are increasing at exactly the same rate. The_jackalope Mar 2020 #4

Jeez, I hope not. Maybe I'm guilty of rose colored glasses too. dem4decades Mar 2020 #8

You are still only talking about tested and confirmed cases genxlib Mar 2020 #2

That doesn't matter as much as the rate of hospitalization. The_jackalope Mar 2020 #3

You are missing a VERY important word in that sentence genxlib Mar 2020 #10

Once they're hospitalized, presumably they are identified as C-19 The_jackalope Mar 2020 #11

I think we are probably more-or-less on the same page genxlib Mar 2020 #12

We're in violent agreement then? The_jackalope Mar 2020 #13

Touche genxlib Mar 2020 #14

This website was interesting to me genxlib Mar 2020 #15

we are on pace to easily beat out china. Javaman Mar 2020 #5

"I like the numbers where they are" central scrutinizer Mar 2020 #7

yup. I've just multiplying each day X 1.4 to get tomorrow's number. NRaleighLiberal Mar 2020 #6

With a factor of 1.4 New York will have 116K cases by Friday... nt EarthFirst Mar 2020 #9

I saw an analysis of this... Happy Hoosier Mar 2020 #16

The US will probably see five figure deaths in two weeks. The_jackalope Mar 2020 #18

So we will take over the world lead from China on Fri? (81000) Trump's Virus! Baclava Mar 2020 #17