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(7,399 posts)

10. We are still social distancing. That's the easy phase.

Sun Apr 19, 2020, 12:52 PM

Apr 2020

R{ .9 } or so. You can run a SIR simulation and get the same result.

The big unknowns are the R-naughts during Phase 1, 2, and 3.

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IHME model needs updating badly [View all] Loki Liesmith Apr 2020 OP

We May Reach That Before End Of April sfstaxprep Apr 2020 #1

👍, furtalizeres ? uponit7771 Apr 2020 #11

They'll wear it as a badge of honor, like 'Deplorables' Amishman Apr 2020 #17

Model was looking ok last week. Loki Liesmith Apr 2020 #7

We are still social distancing. That's the easy phase. Shermann Apr 2020 #10

The revised data are a problem. Igel Apr 2020 #14

Ya think? Squinch Apr 2020 #6

Looked better last week Loki Liesmith Apr 2020 #8

For some strange reason, their model seems to assume or predict... Silent3 Apr 2020 #9

I get that, not really the point I was making Loki Liesmith Apr 2020 #13

IHME has been very conservative BGBD Apr 2020 #15