General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Based on my trip out today - we're all gonna die from COVID 19. [View all]localroger
(3,622 posts)Both the new infection and death rates were doubling every 3 days before the shutdowns. Since some people will continue to be cautious, I figure the doubling rate will be about 6 or 7 days now. Since it's easier to hide new infections deaths will be the unavoidable trigger, and they lag by 3 weeks so it will be about a month before the new wave becomes impossible to hide. By that time there will have been 4 or 5 doublings, so starting from where we are as I type this maybe a million deaths nationwide. At that point we are getting into saturation territory for places like NYC and NOLA which were early hotspots. The problem is the rest of the country which is just now getting exposed. It's going to be a long summer leading up to a November election that might as well be a hundred years from now.