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catbyte

(34,333 posts)
Sun May 17, 2020, 02:47 PM May 2020

Bill Clinton polling guru pinpoints surprising states Biden can lock down to derail Trump's re-elect [View all]

Bill Clinton polling guru pinpoints surprising states Biden can lock down to derail Trump’s re-election bid

Published 2 mins ago

on May 17, 2020

By Tom Boggioni

According to former President Bill Clinton’s political director, the path to the White House for presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden is becoming clearer as polling shows that Donald Trump is hurting in some normally reliable Republican-leaning or pivotal swing states.

In the report, obtained by Axios, Doug Sosnik said the Rust Belt states already listed as key to both campaigns — Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin — are still in play but that Trump is in danger of losing at least two of the three, in part because of the coronavirus pandemic.

snip

With that in mind, Sosnik laid out Biden’s best path to the White House, according to Axios:.

Michigan, Pennsylvania and Arizona: Biden wins all three states — his best option, given the political environment. (Map)
Michigan and Pennsylvania + two congressional districts — Nebraska-02 and Maine-02. (Map)
The Rust Belt: Biden wins Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. (Map)
Michigan and the Sunbelt: Biden carries Michigan, Arizona and North Carolina. (Map)
Florida +1: Biden carries Florida, getting him to 261 electoral votes.

A win in any of the other battleground states would put him well past 270. (Map)


https://www.rawstory.com/2020/05/bill-clinton-polling-guru-pinpoints-surprising-states-biden-can-lock-down-to-derail-trumps-re-election-bid/

The full report is here:

https://www.axios.com/doug-sosnik-electoral-realignment-trump-biden-c4efd9cd-ba41-4f75-ac12-412ca2e6f0ba.html

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I hope we Michiganders fuck up his chances on November 3 as much as he's fucked with our CV-19 supplies.

On edit:

This is my favorite part of his study:

The bottom line: Biden's best strategy:

Make putting Michigan out of reach for Trump the top priority.
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