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Statistical

(19,264 posts)
6. While the electoral votes matter a 9 pt national advantage can't be overcome.
Sun Sep 20, 2020, 11:12 AM
Sep 2020

The electoral college gives conservatives a ~2% advantage due to the fact that the median states are slightly more conservative than the national average.

Now keep an eye on the state polls but national polls are more frequent and the state polls seem to be tracking the same trend.

This election the polls have been atypically stable which as someone else said is a reflection that most people have decided long ago.

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