**** unOfficial Debate Thread #3 *****

[NJCher]

76. 538 chances

snip

In fact, FiveThirtyEight’s forecast is most confident about the House, as the Deluxe version of our model gives Democrats a 95 in 100 shot at retaining control of the House, better than Joe Biden’s 88 in 100 chance of winning the presidency or the Democrats’ 74 in 100 chance of capturing the Senate.1

snip

There are some vulnerabilities, but overall, it doesn't look bad. See chart entitled: Endangered Democrats are still mostly favored


[link:https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-most-vulnerable-incumbent-in-the-house-is-a-democrat-but-republicans-are-defending-more-competitive-seats/|