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Claustrum

(4,845 posts)

1. This is a tweet from Nate Cohn and Nate Silver

Reply to idziak4ever1234 (Original post)

Wed Oct 28, 2020, 11:05 AM

Oct 2020

Link to tweet

Nate Cohn: In our final Times/Siena survey of Nevada, voters who weren't registered as either D/R reported backing Biden by 7 points, 46-39. They said they voted for Trump over Clinton 42-35.

Nate Silver: For example, Biden lost independents by 13 points in Nevada in 2016, per the exit poll there. This year, he leads them by 3 points, in an average of the last 6 polls of the state. That amounts to a net 6 point swing to Biden.

It's not official data but polling data from NV. For Nate Silver tweet, I don't know why it's Biden losing in 2016 (I think it should be Hillary).

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Is there any data as to the percentage of Independent/Unaffiliated that are voting Democratic? [View all] idziak4ever1234 Oct 2020 OP

This is a tweet from Nate Cohn and Nate Silver Claustrum Oct 2020 #1

+1. Good to read. I was thinking this too, just hadn't seen any data. LizBeth Oct 2020 #3

Thank you! I'm hoping that this group will form a "gray" wave that will move in our direction. idziak4ever1234 Oct 2020 #2

I think this is the most likely scenario. Amishman Oct 2020 #4