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Scrivener7

(50,911 posts)
6. That's good. But 80% effectiveness against a variant that is 225% more contagious
Wed Jul 28, 2021, 12:52 PM
Jul 2021

than the original variant

https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2021/07/17/1017075240/delta-variant-is-spreading-fast-and-new-cases-are-rising-is-time-to-mask-up-agai

means we still have a decent chance of getting the virus. Though I know I am much less likely to die or be hospitalized, we don't know how subject to debilitating long covid vaccinated people are.

Still need to be very careful.

Yup Johnny2X2X Jul 2021 #1
So the sky isn't falling? 48656c6c6f20 Jul 2021 #2
I no longer trust Nate silver or 538. they have been wrong the last 3 election cycles due to poor PortTack Jul 2021 #3
Umhm, and due to what else? Is the enormously influential political polling industry Hortensis Jul 2021 #5
What do you mean "they have been wrong"? brooklynite Jul 2021 #7
No they haven't- 538 is a poll aggregator, and does not have its own methodology/polling Fiendish Thingy Jul 2021 #11
Some people read "1 in 3 chance" and interpret it as "zero chance". Mariana Jul 2021 #18
Having worked in the polling industry for many years Bucky Jul 2021 #22
+1, They're weighting of right wing approval rating polls is horrible uponit7771 Jul 2021 #12
538 has performed very well Peppertoo Jul 2021 #19
Sometimes 538 delivers news that I don't like to hear Bucky Jul 2021 #20
I saw there was a British Health report that just being vaccinated, Delta better controlled. TheBlackAdder Jul 2021 #4
That's good. But 80% effectiveness against a variant that is 225% more contagious Scrivener7 Jul 2021 #6
Long Covid is a problem but it's rare. Of course we have to keep studying it and trying to totodeinhere Jul 2021 #14
The thread "unwrap" for Dvir Aran (Israeli data analyst) hlthe2b Jul 2021 #8
Agreed / thanks Peppertoo Jul 2021 #23
Yet the right is jumping on the Israeli estimate story like flies on a turd. Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Jul 2021 #9
But that is about "severe cases". The earlier report was about symptomatic illness. muriel_volestrangler Jul 2021 #10
+1, ... the "...probably.." qualifier is the thing that sticks out in the root tweet. It's a guess uponit7771 Jul 2021 #13
There have been people freaking out about the Israeli data but here and elsewhere Peppertoo Jul 2021 #21
That doesn't make Silver correct, though. He's a professional statistician muriel_volestrangler Jul 2021 #24
I think his tweets are valid Peppertoo Jul 2021 #26
That was pretty obvious when the report first came out Doc Sportello Jul 2021 #15
I Know What You Mean ProfessorGAC Jul 2021 #17
I tried to get a 3rd Pfizer BlueLucy Jul 2021 #16
That's not how it works. This is not a good idea. Scrivener7 Jul 2021 #25
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Nate Silver - the freak o...»Reply #6