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Sabuca

(48 posts)

8. "not a single pollster was able to come within the statistical margin of error"

Reply to FBaggins (Reply #7)

Wed Oct 20, 2021, 11:57 AM

Oct 2021

You act as if several pollsters miss a result by more than the margin of error, they are automatically just as bad...despite the fact that Trafalgar missed the victory margin by a whopping 16%.
No, being off by 8% and being off by 16% or not equally bad.

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18 replies

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Highlight:

Trafalgar was the worst pollster of the California recall vote. Now it's pretending VA Gov is a tie [View all] Sabuca Oct 2021 OP

And the biggest joke is they still have a A- from 538 TheLegend Oct 2021 #1

Nate is in love with Trafalgar Sabuca Oct 2021 #2

Well, I'd calmed down by the time the Newsome recall election began, but I'm nervous as hell hlthe2b Oct 2021 #3

The foxnews poll USAFRetired_Liberal Oct 2021 #5

Average is still only McCauliffe +1.8 lagomorph777 Oct 2021 #14

California does not provide useful information FBaggins Oct 2021 #4

There's no evidence recalls are harder to poll (And he had Trump beating Biden) Sabuca Oct 2021 #6

There's a big difference between you not wanting to believe something and there not being evidence FBaggins Oct 2021 #7

"not a single pollster was able to come within the statistical margin of error" Sabuca Oct 2021 #8

Moving the goalposts doesn't help you FBaggins Oct 2021 #10

So your statistic is one election? Sabuca Oct 2021 #11

Now you have trouble counting? FBaggins Oct 2021 #12

You said recalls are hard to poll, based on 1 instance ( You hoped I forgot the Walker recall) Sabuca Oct 2021 #16

"not a single pollster was able to come within the statistical margin of error" Sabuca Oct 2021 #9

To be fair, we overperformed in Cali Polybius Oct 2021 #13

Monmouth has them tied at 46. former9thward Oct 2021 #15

You were saying? FBaggins Nov 2021 #17

And while we're on the subject... FBaggins Nov 2021 #18