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FBaggins

(26,727 posts)

10. Moving the goalposts doesn't help you

Reply to Sabuca (Reply #8)

Wed Oct 20, 2021, 12:33 PM

Oct 2021

The point was offered to demonstrate (at your insistence) that the recall election was unlike a normal election from a polling standpoint. It was. Not because any of the pollsters were incompetent.

Your cherry-picked claim of one firm performing worse than anyone else in a race that nobody polled accurately at all was easily rebutted by pointing to a far more relevant race that they polled better than anyone else. They were also the best or second best in 2020 presidential polling of FL and PA and WI and OH.

There's a reason that 538 grades them so highly.

Now we'll all just pretend that nobody noticed you dodging the main points of the argument yet again.

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18 replies

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Highlight:

Trafalgar was the worst pollster of the California recall vote. Now it's pretending VA Gov is a tie [View all] Sabuca Oct 2021 OP

And the biggest joke is they still have a A- from 538 TheLegend Oct 2021 #1

Nate is in love with Trafalgar Sabuca Oct 2021 #2

Well, I'd calmed down by the time the Newsome recall election began, but I'm nervous as hell hlthe2b Oct 2021 #3

The foxnews poll USAFRetired_Liberal Oct 2021 #5

Average is still only McCauliffe +1.8 lagomorph777 Oct 2021 #14

California does not provide useful information FBaggins Oct 2021 #4

There's no evidence recalls are harder to poll (And he had Trump beating Biden) Sabuca Oct 2021 #6

There's a big difference between you not wanting to believe something and there not being evidence FBaggins Oct 2021 #7

"not a single pollster was able to come within the statistical margin of error" Sabuca Oct 2021 #8

Moving the goalposts doesn't help you FBaggins Oct 2021 #10

So your statistic is one election? Sabuca Oct 2021 #11

Now you have trouble counting? FBaggins Oct 2021 #12

You said recalls are hard to poll, based on 1 instance ( You hoped I forgot the Walker recall) Sabuca Oct 2021 #16

"not a single pollster was able to come within the statistical margin of error" Sabuca Oct 2021 #9

To be fair, we overperformed in Cali Polybius Oct 2021 #13

Monmouth has them tied at 46. former9thward Oct 2021 #15

You were saying? FBaggins Nov 2021 #17

And while we're on the subject... FBaggins Nov 2021 #18