Polling

[Sympthsical]

3. VA was well within the margin of error

Even if Youngkin is up 2.7% now, I expect that to settle closer to maybe 1.5% once all is said and done (just spitballing). He also had all the momentum through the weekend, so those last minute deciders probably more heavily split in his direction.

(I'd also like to take this opportunity to please ask - can we just stop with the Lincoln Project already?)

Trump voters are well-known to be suspicious and non-responsive towards pollsters. It's a thing. If you're a pollster, and people start lying to you, what do you do about that? It's a tricky question.

This seriously could've been a lot worse for McAuliffe. People have been voting for six weeks. After the craptastic month McAuliffe's campaign managed, I imagine there were people sighing and wishing they could take their votes back.

This could've been worse.