Two words explain why Trump won't run in 2024

[andym]

25. Flawed analysis: Trump denies reality time and again

as he did with his election loss or Covid. So by definition he never loses, so fear of losing plays no direct role here-- it just makes him deny reality. If he does in fact lose, he just claims he was cheated. He stated that he was cheated in 2016 (when he won), 2020, and surely again in 2024 no matter the outcome. Since he craves attention above all, running is his obvious choice. Not only that but his party has a majority believing that Trump has been cheated, and favors Trump, which should give him the nomination. Also, from a practical point of view he can't be prosecuted for his potential crimes if he somehow achieves the White House.

Even the author of the Hill article covers his bases with:
"To recap: Trump won’t run because he fears losing and does not want to fight for the nomination. But here is why I could be wrong:
...
I asked Mark McKinnon, the co-host of Showtime’s “The Circus” and the last presidential strategist to win the reelection of a Republican president:
“Trump will never concede the stage or the spotlight to anyone else unless he’s in prison or a hospital. He’s not licking his wounds, he’s licking his chops. Every defeat is someone else’s fault. Every victory is his alone. The notion that he would simply exit stage left because of some political reality, self-reflection, or awareness flies in the face of everything we’ve learned about him.”"