General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Just a reminder- today is yet another consequence of not getting out the vote in 2016 for Hillary [View all]betsuni
(27,123 posts)211% more on TV ads, 25 campaign events in general election, surrogates such as President Obama and VP Biden. Michigan, 140 more staff than Obama, 166% more on TV ads, seven events during general election.
Polls showed Wisconsin steady. Tim Kaine, Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders and other surrogates held events. New harsh voting laws, turnout (according to Priorities USA) reduced voter turnout by 200,000 votes, particularly in low income and minority areas. Hillary lost by 22,748 votes in Wisconsin. Trump received about the same number of votes as Romney did in 2012, no surge in Republican turnout.
Third party candidates received more than five million more votes than in 2012. Targeted propaganda.
In Michigan, voters who thought the economy was most important went for Hillary 51 to 43 Trump. Wisconsin, 52 to 42. Pennsylvania, 50 to 46.
"Here's the bottom line: I campaigned heavily across Pennsylvania, had an aggressive ground game and lots of advertising, and still lost by 44,000 votes, more than the margin in Michigan and Wisconsin combined. So it's just not credible that the best explanation for the outcome in those states -- and therefore the election -- was where I held rallies."
Don't know why people overestimate rallies. Biden didn't have many during the pandemic and still won.
After the Comey letter Hillary's lead shrank three points: "When both candidates seemed risky, then the desire for change reasserted itself and undecideds shifted to Trump or to a third party."