Polls in the battleground states and low approval ratings are why [View all]
People keep on saying they don’t understand why all these top people and experts are not supporting Biden. I’m not an expert and I don’t know for sure but:
Im pretty sure they are looking at the swing state polls (pretty much all of them) and Biden is behind in EVERY swing state and every battleground poll. Your campaign is in trouble if you have been consistently behind in the battleground states AND trending downward little by little. The National polls do not tell the story of who can win in a electoral college system.
In addition no one has ever won the Presidency with such low approval ratings: Carter, HW Bush, Gerald Ford, Donald Trump. I just don’t think that people like Nancy Pelosi, Chuck Schumer, Adam Schiff would be playing games. Also the silence of Obama and others are also telling.
It is because of that, I am questioning things. I have been sending money to Biden-Harris and joined this site during Gore vs. Bush so I am no Republican or Newbie.
We cannot have Trump back in office and I am for whoever can best beat him. Biden or Harris. I think we need to be accepting of Harris if she ends up in there. I would be pissed if it is not Harris, I’ll be honest, and would have to do a lot of thinking about things.
Another thing if Harris gets put in is in there, the Republicans will be totally caught flat-footed
Biden trails Trump in all 7 pivotal battleground states: Poll
Polling finds Trump with considerable leads in major swing states with 4 months until election
Michael Hernandez |
16.07.2024 - Update : 17.07.2024
https://www.aa.com.tr/en/americas/biden-trails-trump-in-all-7-pivotal-battleground-states-poll/3277183
Biden has lost ground in every polled swing state since the survey was last conducted in March, except Arizona where he has continued to lag behind Trump by 7% among registered voters. The president had led in three of the states but has seen his support steadily erode in the past four months.
Battleground polls:
https://www.realclearpolling.com/elections/president/2024/battleground-states
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/july-2024-swing-state-polls/
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/july-2024-swing-state-polls/
Trump Leads Biden in Swing States and National Poll as Biden’s Support Declines
New polling conducted July 15-16 by Emerson College Polling and sponsored by Democrats for Next Generation finds former President Trump leading Biden in seven swing states and in a national poll.
In the July 15-16 national poll, 46% of registered voters support Trump, and 42% support Biden; 12% are undecided. There has been a two-point drop in Biden’s support since earlier this month, where 46% supported Trump, and 44% supported Biden.
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When third-party candidates are added to the ballot test, Trump either maintains or extends his advantage in the national poll and 6 of 7 swing states.
* Arizona: Trump 46%, Biden 36%, other candidates 8.2%
* Georgia: Trump 44%, Biden 39%, other candidates 9.3%
* Michigan: Trump 43%, Biden 40%, other candidates 8.3%
* Nevada: Trump 43%, Biden 40%, other candidates 9.2%
* North Carolina: Trump 47%, Biden 38%, other candidates 8.7%
* Pennsylvania: Trump 46%, Biden 40%, other candidates 6.3%
* Wisconsin: Trump 46%, Biden 43%, other candidates 6.5%
* National: Trump 44%, Biden 38%, other candidates 8.4 %
Since March 2024, Trump has gained one point in Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, and two points in Arizona, while he has lost a point in Michigan.
State Results %
% point movement for Biden % point movement for Trump
Biden. Trump
Arizona -2 +2
Georgia -1 +1
Michigan -2 -1
Nevada -1 +1
North Carolina -4 +1
Pennsylvania -1 +1
Wisconsin -2 +1
https://www.270towin.com/news/2024/07/06/electoral-maps-compare-consensus-forecast-polling_1649.html
Approval polls info:
https://www.newsweek.com/joe-biden-less-popular-last-4-presidents-who-failed-win-second-term-185657
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