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Bernardo de La Paz

(55,849 posts)
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 11:59 AM Apr 9

1930 is the model for the 2026 Blue Storm Surge [View all]

Hoover elected 1928.
Presided over market crash in 1929.
Signed Smoot-Hawley tariff tax June 1930.

Then November 1930 happened.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1930_United_States_elections

Senate: +8 Dem (35 contested, only 96 seats then)
House: +52 Dem
Governors: +7 Dem (33 contested)

Then November 1932 happened.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1932_United_States_elections

President: FDR: 472 EV, Hoover 59. Popular vote margin: Dem +17.8%
Senate: +12 (compared to 1930)
House: +97 (compared to 1930)
Governors: +11 (compared to 1930, 35 contested)

Democrats need a 21st century FDR. RepubliConners have their Hoover (tRump for midterms, Vance for 2028).

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