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longship

(40,416 posts)

6. Well, if there are 17 candidates, likely nobody is going to get 25%!!!

Reply to Attorney in Texas (Reply #2)

Sun Aug 16, 2015, 08:30 PM

Aug 2015

And if they do, it is very likely that they WILL be the front runner.

The issue is not that Trump has only about 25% of the poll. It's that there are 17 fucking clowns in the clown car. And given Trump's character, and that of the other 16, I do not think anybody can predict who will, or will not, get the nomination. Especially this far out.

538 is full of shit. But it sure is going to be a lot of fun.

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538: "Candidates In Donald Trump’s Position Have A Terrible Track Record" [View all] Attorney in Texas Aug 2015 OP

Terrible argument! longship Aug 2015 #1

That point was expressly addressed in the article. Trump will not be the nominee. Carry on. Attorney in Texas Aug 2015 #2

Well, if there are 17 candidates, likely nobody is going to get 25%!!! longship Aug 2015 #6

You're going to argue statistics with a professional statistician with a shockingly accurate success Attorney in Texas Aug 2015 #7

Well, not that accurate this far out. longship Aug 2015 #8

17 is just a number. If you discount Gilmore, Pataki, Jindal, Graham, etc. (as the Republicans have) Attorney in Texas Aug 2015 #9

more data: "Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination" Attorney in Texas Aug 2015 #3

The far right has its Jon Stewart on. Eleanors38 Aug 2015 #4

Another small point is that asd we get closer to the conventions... TreasonousBastard Aug 2015 #5