General Discussion

boxman15

(1,033 posts)

17. It's not a bad map overall, but why is Michigan leaning GOP?

Reply to SickOfTheOnePct (Original post)

Sat Jun 9, 2012, 03:27 PM

Jun 2012

I know there was the one EPIC poll that had Romney up 1, but that's an outlier. Most polls have shown Obama up by an average of roughly 8 points. Their polls have consistently been better for Romney in Michigan than other pollsters.

Also, I'd have Ohio a lean Obama state. Again, most polls there show an Obama lead, albeit a small one that could flip the other way easily.

If you switch those two over to the Obama column as you should, you'd see Obama with a 297-206 advantage.

Nate Silver's map (not the New York Times' political desk's map) is the most accurate one, I believe.

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Has anyone else seen this map? [View all] SickOfTheOnePct Jun 2012 OP

That map is bullshit. TheWraith Jun 2012 #1

Yeah, really..... Wounded Bear Jun 2012 #2

I hope you're right SickOfTheOnePct Jun 2012 #3

Looks like this is the latest poll SickOfTheOnePct Jun 2012 #4

The last Michigan poll has Romney up by one 46-45. former9thward Jun 2012 #14

Florida has had Obama ahead by 4% for some time now... 1monster Jun 2012 #5

Well, it shows the name and date of the poll SickOfTheOnePct Jun 2012 #7

Leip has one MisterP Jun 2012 #6

It is weird to see the colors reversed n/t Gore1FL Jun 2012 #8

Do you really think you are fooling anyone here?? DCBob Jun 2012 #9

I won't apologize for not following a herd mentality on every single issue SickOfTheOnePct Jun 2012 #10

I for one appreciate you posting this. To see the delusion and bubble think here on DU kelly1mm Jun 2012 #11

Thank you - complacency is my fear n/t SickOfTheOnePct Jun 2012 #12

what issues do you agree with the "herd" on? DCBob Jun 2012 #15

Gee, I don't know SickOfTheOnePct Jun 2012 #22

No. But, I give it the same credence as the kid who saw the easter bunny. Tierra_y_Libertad Jun 2012 #13

My problem with that map DavidDvorkin Jun 2012 #16

I agree SickOfTheOnePct Jun 2012 #20

It's not a bad map overall, but why is Michigan leaning GOP? boxman15 Jun 2012 #17

Electoral Vote only uses one poll per state Godhumor Jun 2012 #19

Thank you! n/t SickOfTheOnePct Jun 2012 #21

Troll alert Sugarcoated Jun 2012 #18