Trump Says He's Been 'Childish,' Raises Possibility of Dropping Out

[MosheFeingold]

67. His internal negatives are too high

I've been through a lot of elections, and, at this point (where no one has even a strong plurality), you don't care as much about your positive numbers, so much as your negative and "second choice" numbers.

He's pretty much peaked in terms of positive and second choice, and his negatives are huge.

Looking deeper into the polling numbers, there are a few viable (internally within the Republican Primary) candidates:

Carson
Cruz
Bush
Rubio

Carson doesn't have the organization or the money. Rubio doesn't have the money.

Cruz is the favorite, by far, of the wingnut base, and has both money and organization.

Bush has the elite vote and the money and the family organization, but is hated by the wingnut base.

It will come down to Cruz vs. Bush. It's very similar to Reagan vs. Bush, actually, in dynamics, except Cruz would make Rubio his VP and Bush would make some token (yes, token, that's how it works) female his VP.

This is from 60+ years of working on campaigns. I will bet anyone 1,000,000 internet points.