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kansasobama

(609 posts) Tue Sep 8, 2020, 03:49 PM Sep 2020

Race tightens in Miami-Dade, giving hope to Trump in Florida [View all]

Source: Microsoft News

Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden's lead over President Trump in Florida's largest county is tightening, according to a new poll, bolstering the president's hopes in the must-win swing state.

The poll, from the firm Bendixen & Amandi International and the Miami Herald, shows Biden garnering 55 percent of the vote in Miami-Dade County to Trump's 38 percent. While that 17-point lead is well outside the poll's 4.4 percentage point margin of error, it's well short of then-Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton's 30-point victory there in 2016.

The survey also found Biden and Trump statistically tied among Miami-Dade Hispanics. The former vice president carried 46 percent support among those voters to Trump's 47 percent.

There's little doubt that Biden will win Miami-Dade in the November election. Democratic presidential candidates have carried the county, which encompasses Miami and its suburbs, for decades.

But Trump doesn't need to win Miami-Dade in November to capture Florida's 29 electoral votes, and if he's successful at narrowing Biden's margin of victory there, it could help him make up for possible deficits in other parts of the state, such as in the swing counties along the I-4 corridor in Central Florida.

Read more: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/race-tightens-in-miami-dade-giving-hope-to-trump-in-florida/ar-BB18PbTP?ocid=msedgdhp

Okay Friends:

I am now freaking out. This is not soothing especially with Cohen's book saying Trump considers blacks and Hispanics stupid. And, here we have Hispanics for Trump. What Cohen means by stupid is probably that Trump can manipulate them.

Marist poll has Trump up by 1 in Florida as per fivethirtyeight. Another poll has Trump just 2 points behind in PA. To be frank, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Florida looks really really close. In addition, an article in fivethirtyeight says 30% Hispanics and Cuban Americans support Trump, 10% African-American voters support Trump and this has helped Trump survive the storm. I am at a loss at what is going on. I guess many Americans are either stupid or racists or tribal.

Really disappointed. Trump should be losing 48 states with all that is happening.

66 replies

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Race tightens in Miami-Dade, giving hope to Trump in Florida [View all] kansasobama Sep 2020 OP

I put the blame on Democratic Party leadership in FL. Results matter. Go look at the history of OrlandoDem2 Sep 2020 #1

Please do your HW...Re: Biden and Harris better both get down here in person and sew this up! caber09 Sep 2020 #3

I see lots hand-wringing and negativity... lots of blaming and scapegoating... and lots of threats. NurseJackie Sep 2020 #8

trolls and bots do what they do..... getagrip_already Sep 2020 #12

If you lived here the way I have all 49 years of my life you'd feel the same. OrlandoDem2 Sep 2020 #14

the rest of the country.. stillcool Sep 2020 #29

But you didn't even know Harris is scheduled to be there ? JI7 Sep 2020 #40

Interesting, no? NurseJackie Sep 2020 #57

What purpose does complacency have? AllTooEasy Sep 2020 #52

You know perfectly well that the OP has not issued a "call to arms" or anything of the sort. NurseJackie Sep 2020 #55

They will need to spend more time there, and they will still_one Sep 2020 #44

I'm unaware of any evidence that indicates a candidate visiting (or not visiting) a state will move... NurseJackie Sep 2020 #5

Those numbers probably reflect the fundraising imbalance. OneBro Sep 2020 #9

You are correct, Cubans, Venezuelans and the rest of Hispanics in support of those two Escurumbele Sep 2020 #31

We definitely could profit from a Get Out The Vote effort in Miami. Doug.Goodall Sep 2020 #38

Biden's 17 point lead gives Trump hope? OneBro Sep 2020 #2

It's important because we need a huge win in Miami-Dade to have a chance to win the state mr_lebowski Sep 2020 #7

I agree that it's important. OneBro Sep 2020 #11

How many governors have we elected since 1998? None. Senators? OrlandoDem2 Sep 2020 #19

It's called cutting the margins. It's how you win in FL. You don't try to appeal to the whole state. OrlandoDem2 Sep 2020 #16

I am not ready to throw in the towel for Miami-Dade county just yet and neither should you. FM123 Sep 2020 #4

Keep in mind Miami Dade area has large Cuban voters who mostly vote Republican for decades FloridaBlues Sep 2020 #6

This means that Trump will still have to pour money into Florida. ananda Sep 2020 #17

Yes..if he has any money. Haven't seen many trump ads as yet. FloridaBlues Sep 2020 #23

Putin will give him the money he needs Escurumbele Sep 2020 #32

Agree. Low-info voters are vulnerable to propaganda radius777 Sep 2020 #49

polls mean very little, up or down, as we saw in '16. What matters is to keep repuke dirty tricks yaesu Sep 2020 #10

OrlandoDem2 is honestly worried- not negative- Trump is a second Castro-Cuban Americans! kansasobama Sep 2020 #13

One thing that WILL gain Joe the senior vote is to push what DT is saying about the P/R tax! THAT napi21 Sep 2020 #15

Do not expect to win Florida RhodeIslandOne Sep 2020 #18

Miami is hardest hit by COVID IronLionZion Sep 2020 #20

I think a lot of seniors in Florida will go for Biden, based on the pandemic steve2470 Sep 2020 #21

The issue that needs to be pounded there is social security destruction by trump still_one Sep 2020 #41

agreed! nt steve2470 Sep 2020 #47

I just gotta ask...............if the orange hair confection thought about these men turbinetree Sep 2020 #22

Let's not forget a high Caribbean vote there too and they love Harris! FloridaBlues Sep 2020 #24

never believe these polls, the one tomorrow will show Joe up 5, or whatever, the ROLL of the media beachbumbob Sep 2020 #25

Just MHO, agree with most here, we won't win FL. The good news, we don't need FL to win 270 Thekaspervote Sep 2020 #26

The "Loser and Sucker" comment may change some in the middle. Stuart G Sep 2020 #27

All of a sudden... orwell Sep 2020 #28

always .. stillcool Sep 2020 #30

yup Skittles Sep 2020 #37

The problem is only pointing out negatives without any suggestions of what to do JI7 Sep 2020 #43

It wouldn't surprise me at all if the prick won Florida again, unfortunately. BlueStater Sep 2020 #33

Doom and gloom post vercetti2021 Sep 2020 #34

Did you believe the "doom and gloom" posts in 2016? AllTooEasy Sep 2020 #50

I voted vercetti2021 Sep 2020 #53

Oh FFS! GMAFB! Nothing in the OP was a "call to action". It was a classic "we're doomed" post. NurseJackie Sep 2020 #58

bingo obamanut2012 Sep 2020 #60

And the "defense" of such posts are damned offensive too. NurseJackie Sep 2020 #61

Thank you Jackie vercetti2021 Sep 2020 #62

This is not 2016...far from it. And let's face it...Stein and her supporters on the left Demsrule86 Sep 2020 #66

Florida! Proximate Centurion Sep 2020 #35

No need to freak out.. Biden has many paths to victory without Florida. honest.abe Sep 2020 #36

Concur. Trump has no path to victory without Florida... SKKY Sep 2020 #63

Biden has to play up the SS point and stress Kamala's Jamaican roots world wide wally Sep 2020 #39

Yup still_one Sep 2020 #42

Disappointing but not surprising Dopers_Greed Sep 2020 #45

https://www.elnuevodia.com/english/news/story/puerto-ricans-in-florida-support-joe-biden/ Naio Sep 2020 #46

I don't believe this poll, seems like an outlier. radius777 Sep 2020 #48

I've been assumng from day 1 that FL would go for Trump again jgmiller Sep 2020 #51

Florida will be close. rockfordfile Sep 2020 #54

The Biden Campaign... Aviation91 Sep 2020 #56

Fernand Amandi was a frequent AMJoy guest DeminPennswoods Sep 2020 #59

Please, stop the freakouts. Currently Biden leads in all swing states but OH & GA onetexan Sep 2020 #64

And you ignore the good news...and there is plenty...doom and gloom post... Demsrule86 Sep 2020 #65