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In reply to the discussion: "Why Some Covid 19 Numbers Are Improving". [View all]DeminPennswoods
(15,265 posts)18. Deaths are a lagging indicator
The sequence is infection(cases), hospitalizations, then deaths. So infections have come down, now hospitalizations have declined and deaths will follow in a few weeks.
As for another surge, I recall reading studies relatively early in the epidemic that "herd immunity" might be achieved with significantly less than 70% having immunity/been infected. Perhaps that's going to prove to be true. Right now, the US is at about 25% (80M) with vaccinated plus infected and recovered.
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THANK YOU for your comment. Not good news to me..Less Deaths is that "Good News?
Stuart G
Feb 2021
#3
There still is no plausible explanation for why cases are coming down so dramatically nt
Shermann
Feb 2021
#2
Of course there is a plausible explanation...people who are well, are not getting close to..ANYONE!!
Stuart G
Feb 2021
#4
The peak was a couple weeks after Christmas. Holiday get togethers were a killer.
Lucky Luciano
Feb 2021
#26
Not really...exponential growth started in September and actually slowed during the holidays nt
Shermann
Feb 2021
#31
In my area of Michigan, people are really being good about mask wearing and distancing.
roamer65
Feb 2021
#43
I'm not convinced there has been a big change in use of masks and social distances
Steelrolled
Feb 2021
#13
I think the "A lot of people have had it already" is a little discussed factor
greenjar_01
Feb 2021
#16
NY death numbers in March-May 2020 alone suggest much, much higher infection rate
greenjar_01
Feb 2021
#25
The deaths are still way to high, but in Los Angeles the numbers are finally improving.
C Moon
Feb 2021
#29
The headline you object to says "some". And you've picked out just one of the figures.
muriel_volestrangler
Feb 2021
#35