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In reply to the discussion: Most Americans Don't Want Biden or Trump to Run Again: Poll [View all]It's why I 100% believe this poll. You can set you're watch by the stupidity and fickleness of the American public.
1976 - Carter inherits the general distrust of government left by Nixon. Not to mention gas lines (which didn't start with Carter) and he gets the blame and we end up with "mourning in america."
1992/1994 - Clinton gets elected after 12 years of Reaganomics, scandals, and a general mess (most people don't remember how bad things were at the end of Reagan's Administration with Iran-Contra, the S&Ls, etc.). But, in 2 years, we get the Contract with America Gingrich nightmare. Reagan/Bush left a disaster and Clinton didn't get it all cleaned up in 2 years (which was impossible, and the sitting president got blamed).
2008/2010 - Obama inherits total chaos (in fact, the 2006 Dems inherited chaos and started to work on it but it was monumental) and within 3 months we have the Tea Party and Obama gets blamed for not fixing everything in 2 years. People like to blame ObamaCare but the Tea Party nonsense happened almost immediately after his election...they didn't even know where all the white house bathrooms were yet.
2020/2022 - Trump runs one of the most incompetent, disastrous, corrupt, unbelievable administrations in the history of the developed world and the inevitable fallout hits Biden. Based on the other three examples, we know what is going to happen next...
There are so many centrists and moderates who don't pay attention to what got them to a particular state and they just knee-jerk blame the person in office. So they either vote against the incumbent without thinking or don't show up. Republicans consistently leave a giant mess that will take a long time to clean and with the pathetic attention span of most Americans, the Dems get all the blame for something they had little to do with. Not to mention the social conservatives usually find something to scare everyone about that isn't a thing and you get a mid-term bloodbath. Dems could help immensely with better messaging but they've never been good at that in my lifetime. The media is also rarely helpful as they also have, collectively, the attention span of a gnat and tend to just ask why everything isn't great in America when they know damn well why.
So, this poll is real. The facts that got us here, unfortunately, will mean nothing to many voters.