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In reply to the discussion: Thread for anyone to explain why Labour would do better under Owen Smith's leadership. [View all]muriel_volestrangler
(101,295 posts)1. Smith does appeal slightly more to the moderate left
http://www.bmgresearch.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/9861-CONFIDENTIAL-BMG-POLL-INDEPENDENT-AUG-170816.pdf
When asked "If you had to choose, who would you rather be Prime Minister?", a May-Corbyn matchup in the 'slightly left' category gets 41% Corbyn, 59% May, while with Smith it's 48% Smith, 52% May. The overall figures come out the same, largely because Corbyn wins the 'fairly left wing' category better.
Conventional political wisdom is that marginal constituencies are won with swing voters, not the turnout of voters already committed to one side. Sorry, but the "where would they go?" question is a reasonable one to ask.
The main message of that poll, though, is that both of them will find it really hard to turn things round and win the next election.
When asked "If you had to choose, who would you rather be Prime Minister?", a May-Corbyn matchup in the 'slightly left' category gets 41% Corbyn, 59% May, while with Smith it's 48% Smith, 52% May. The overall figures come out the same, largely because Corbyn wins the 'fairly left wing' category better.
Conventional political wisdom is that marginal constituencies are won with swing voters, not the turnout of voters already committed to one side. Sorry, but the "where would they go?" question is a reasonable one to ask.
The main message of that poll, though, is that both of them will find it really hard to turn things round and win the next election.
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Thread for anyone to explain why Labour would do better under Owen Smith's leadership. [View all]
Ken Burch
Aug 2016
OP
OK, we better stop talking then, until you deem the honeymoon period is over.
muriel_volestrangler
Aug 2016
#6
You're being silly...but would anyone actually object to Branson himself being nationalized?
Ken Burch
Aug 2016
#13