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muriel_volestrangler

(101,271 posts)

17. The SNP got lucky - they won a lot of their seats with tiny majorities

Reply to Denzil_DC (Original post)

Mon Jun 12, 2017, 09:31 AM

Jun 2017

Taking "500 or less" as a "tiny majority" - basically less than 1% of the total voting in a constituency - there are 31 in the UK. Of those, 12 are in Scotland; of those, the SNP won 8, where Labour was 2nd in 5, Tories in 2, and Lib Dems in 1. The SNP came second in 4 of these seats - losing to Labour in 3, and the Tories in 1.

(It seems to me there were a lot of close results, so I've made a spreadsheet of them. Plaid Cymru was lucky too - of their 4 seats, 2 have tiny majorities).

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Highlight:

How Scottish Labour's Kezia Dugdale may have handed the election to the Tories [View all] Denzil_DC Jun 2017 OP

In case anyone's skeptical about an out-of-context interview quote, Denzil_DC Jun 2017 #1

Heh. Denzil_DC Jun 2017 #3

Not convincing enough? Denzil_DC Jun 2017 #2

Scottish Labour STILL hasn't learned from the mistake it made in the Indyref Ken Burch Jun 2017 #5

More evidence that Dugdale has to go. Ken Burch Jun 2017 #4

Davidson has been cosying up with the Scottish Orange Order for some time. Denzil_DC Jun 2017 #6

An alliance between Ruth and the Orange Order would involve some VERY delicate phraseology. Ken Burch Jun 2017 #7

The problem's been growing in Scotland for some time, and Scottish Labour's not immune. Denzil_DC Jun 2017 #8

A few more examples since I have the tabs open on my browser: Denzil_DC Jun 2017 #9

I'm not sure there's much appetite for replacing Dugdale T_i_B Jun 2017 #10

If they turn on her though, the government falls... Ken Burch Jun 2017 #11

I think Corbyn is pretty safe TBH T_i_B Jun 2017 #15

See, that's one of Scottish Labour's major problems right there. Denzil_DC Jun 2017 #12

Here's Ruth "Paper Tiger" Davidson Denzil_DC Jun 2017 #13

Actually, she exits stage RIGHT...as you'd expect a Tory(or Snagglepuss) to do. Ken Burch Jun 2017 #14

My mistake! n/t Denzil_DC Jun 2017 #16

It's all right...I've done theatre off and on for years. Ken Burch Jun 2017 #25

I did a bit in my youth, but sleep's been a bit short the last few days Denzil_DC Jun 2017 #26

This message was self-deleted by its author Ken Burch Jun 2017 #23

The SNP got lucky - they won a lot of their seats with tiny majorities muriel_volestrangler Jun 2017 #17

ALL the parties got lucky, except when they didn't. Denzil_DC Jun 2017 #18

Yeah, but I'm not cherrypicking - that was all close seats (nt) muriel_volestrangler Jun 2017 #19

Yeah, but saying a certain party "got lucky" is a bit meaningless. Denzil_DC Jun 2017 #20

OK, to illustrate some of what I'm saying here, Denzil_DC Jun 2017 #21

A bit more analysis of some of the dynamics in Scotland (including my Argyll & Bute constituency) Denzil_DC Jun 2017 #22

Could you pm me that spreadsheet? Thanks. Ken Burch Jun 2017 #24

Lest anyone think this was purely post-poll petulance on my part, Denzil_DC Jul 2017 #27