United Kingdom

Ken Burch

(50,254 posts) Thu Sep 18, 2014, 05:06 AM Sep 2014

Scottish referendum predictions thread. [View all]

post your guess here.

I'm going with 50.2%-49.8%...but not sure which way.

66 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

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Scottish referendum predictions thread. [View all] Ken Burch Sep 2014 OP

No prediction on total percentage, but I think no will win out narrowly. Drunken Irishman Sep 2014 #1

Same here. No will win slightly because people are afraid of change. n/t FSogol Sep 2014 #19

That would be my guess customerserviceguy Sep 2014 #38

51% in the yes column, 49% in the no column ReRe Sep 2014 #2

You can tell my nerves are on edge. I got that the wrong way round! non sociopath skin Sep 2014 #3

I predict one helluva lotta hoopla. riqster Sep 2014 #4

I think the yes side is being duped jambo101 Sep 2014 #5

Let me play the Salmond side Jeneral2885 Sep 2014 #6

51.5% No, 48.5% Yes (nt) muriel_volestrangler Sep 2014 #7

53.2/46.8 "yes". krispos42 Sep 2014 #8

What does Ladbrokes predict? Hoppy Sep 2014 #9

here's a link to their site: Ken Burch Sep 2014 #10

All bookies predict NO Bosonic Sep 2014 #11

Can US residents legally place a bet? oberliner Sep 2014 #13

No idea Bosonic Sep 2014 #14

Glad I didn't oberliner Sep 2014 #62

YES by a surprisingly comfortable margin oberliner Sep 2014 #12

I think the Yes people are more likely to put up posters about it, however LeftishBrit Sep 2014 #17

True, but YES really seemed to be gaining momentum and enthusiasm oberliner Sep 2014 #18

Posters don't vote T_i_B Sep 2014 #55

Clearly not oberliner Sep 2014 #56

56% no, 44% yes Politicub Sep 2014 #15

Pretty close, well done n/t intaglio Sep 2014 #54

My prediction: 51% No; 49% Yes LeftishBrit Sep 2014 #16

No by 5-6 points Anarcho-Socialist Sep 2014 #20

Hear, hear! non sociopath skin Sep 2014 #21

Clackmannanshire - No 53.8%, yes on 46.2% Anarcho-Socialist Sep 2014 #25

This isn't about nationalism. It's about the chance to be free of Thatcherism. Ken Burch Sep 2014 #32

YouGov post-voting internet poll: 54% No, 46% Yes muriel_volestrangler Sep 2014 #22

I think I need to hear the fat lady sing, muriel. non sociopath skin Sep 2014 #23

I think she needs a few hours' rest first muriel_volestrangler Sep 2014 #24

If the No does win, it needs to not win by too much. Ken Burch Sep 2014 #30

If Scotland becomes indy, the US will have to bomb it for its oil. valerief Sep 2014 #26

What a ridiculous comment oberliner Sep 2014 #58

I think that was probably sarcasm! I hope so, anyway. LeftishBrit Sep 2014 #59

Orkney - No 67.2%, yes 32.8% Anarcho-Socialist Sep 2014 #27

end result will be "no". 840high Sep 2014 #28

Shetland - 64% for "No" and 36% for "Yes" Anarcho-Socialist Sep 2014 #29

Shetland has much of the oil in its boundaries. Ken Burch Sep 2014 #31

To be honest... LeftishBrit Sep 2014 #50

How do you account for the fact that the NO won in a lot of SNP-voting areas? Ken Burch Sep 2014 #52

Hard to say really... LeftishBrit Sep 2014 #53

Eilean Siar - No 53.42%, yes 46.58% Anarcho-Socialist Sep 2014 #33

that area is about the most heavily SNP part of Scotland. Ken Burch Sep 2014 #39

Whatever the percentage, I hope Yes manages a victory. Oakenshield Sep 2014 #34

(True). It's looking like they won't be in the short term, at the least. Ken Burch Sep 2014 #35

Inverclyde - Yes 50.08%, no 49.92% Anarcho-Socialist Sep 2014 #36

That hurts. Another vote to trust Cameron. Ken Burch Sep 2014 #37

Dundee - Yes 57% No 43% Anarcho-Socialist Sep 2014 #40

The "Yes" is only 7,000 votes down overall with that result. Ken Burch Sep 2014 #42

Renfrewshire - No 53% Yes 47% Anarcho-Socialist Sep 2014 #41

West Dunbartonshire - Yes 54% No 46% Anarcho-Socialist Sep 2014 #43

The Yes carries West Dumbartonshire Ken Burch Sep 2014 #44

Midlothian - No 56 Yes 44 Anarcho-Socialist Sep 2014 #45

Midlothian votes no Ken Burch Sep 2014 #46

After a rush of results - 17 out of 32 declared, it's 56% No, 44% Yes muriel_volestrangler Sep 2014 #47

In case people didn't see this earlier, this was a "poll" shown on CNN: Ken Burch Sep 2014 #48

LOL! LeftishBrit Sep 2014 #51

Typical for CNN oberliner Sep 2014 #57

With Glasgow in, it's 54% No, 46% Yes muriel_volestrangler Sep 2014 #49

Alex Salmond has resigned as 1st Minister T_i_B Sep 2014 #60

If Scottish Labour had STAYED Labour, rather than going Blairite on orders from London, Ken Burch Sep 2014 #61

Nicola Sturgeon confirmed as new SNP leader T_i_B Oct 2014 #63

I understand that she was Salmond's choice for successor. Ken Burch Oct 2014 #64

Nobody else stood.... T_i_B Oct 2014 #65

The grim reaper is knocking for Scottish Labour T_i_B Oct 2014 #66