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muriel_volestrangler

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22. YouGov post-voting internet poll: 54% No, 46% Yes

Thu Sep 18, 2014, 06:04 PM

Sep 2014

YouGov predicts that No has won Scotland’s referendum with 54% of the vote

YouGov bases its prediction on the responses of 1,828 people after they voted today, together with those of 800 people who had already voted by post. Today’s respondents had previously given their voting intention earlier this week. By recontacting them, we could assess any last-minute shift in views. Today’s responses indicate that there has been a small shift on the day from Yes to No, and also that No supporters were slightly more likely to turn out to vote.

http://yougov.co.uk/news/2014/09/18/yougov-referendum-prediction/

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Scottish referendum predictions thread. [View all] Ken Burch Sep 2014 OP

No prediction on total percentage, but I think no will win out narrowly. Drunken Irishman Sep 2014 #1

Same here. No will win slightly because people are afraid of change. n/t FSogol Sep 2014 #19

That would be my guess customerserviceguy Sep 2014 #38

51% in the yes column, 49% in the no column ReRe Sep 2014 #2

You can tell my nerves are on edge. I got that the wrong way round! non sociopath skin Sep 2014 #3

I predict one helluva lotta hoopla. riqster Sep 2014 #4

I think the yes side is being duped jambo101 Sep 2014 #5

Let me play the Salmond side Jeneral2885 Sep 2014 #6

51.5% No, 48.5% Yes (nt) muriel_volestrangler Sep 2014 #7

53.2/46.8 "yes". krispos42 Sep 2014 #8

What does Ladbrokes predict? Hoppy Sep 2014 #9

here's a link to their site: Ken Burch Sep 2014 #10

All bookies predict NO Bosonic Sep 2014 #11

Can US residents legally place a bet? oberliner Sep 2014 #13

No idea Bosonic Sep 2014 #14

Glad I didn't oberliner Sep 2014 #62

YES by a surprisingly comfortable margin oberliner Sep 2014 #12

I think the Yes people are more likely to put up posters about it, however LeftishBrit Sep 2014 #17

True, but YES really seemed to be gaining momentum and enthusiasm oberliner Sep 2014 #18

Posters don't vote T_i_B Sep 2014 #55

Clearly not oberliner Sep 2014 #56

56% no, 44% yes Politicub Sep 2014 #15

Pretty close, well done n/t intaglio Sep 2014 #54

My prediction: 51% No; 49% Yes LeftishBrit Sep 2014 #16

No by 5-6 points Anarcho-Socialist Sep 2014 #20

Hear, hear! non sociopath skin Sep 2014 #21

Clackmannanshire - No 53.8%, yes on 46.2% Anarcho-Socialist Sep 2014 #25

This isn't about nationalism. It's about the chance to be free of Thatcherism. Ken Burch Sep 2014 #32

YouGov post-voting internet poll: 54% No, 46% Yes muriel_volestrangler Sep 2014 #22

I think I need to hear the fat lady sing, muriel. non sociopath skin Sep 2014 #23

I think she needs a few hours' rest first muriel_volestrangler Sep 2014 #24

If the No does win, it needs to not win by too much. Ken Burch Sep 2014 #30

If Scotland becomes indy, the US will have to bomb it for its oil. valerief Sep 2014 #26

What a ridiculous comment oberliner Sep 2014 #58

I think that was probably sarcasm! I hope so, anyway. LeftishBrit Sep 2014 #59

Orkney - No 67.2%, yes 32.8% Anarcho-Socialist Sep 2014 #27

end result will be "no". 840high Sep 2014 #28

Shetland - 64% for "No" and 36% for "Yes" Anarcho-Socialist Sep 2014 #29

Shetland has much of the oil in its boundaries. Ken Burch Sep 2014 #31

To be honest... LeftishBrit Sep 2014 #50

How do you account for the fact that the NO won in a lot of SNP-voting areas? Ken Burch Sep 2014 #52

Hard to say really... LeftishBrit Sep 2014 #53

Eilean Siar - No 53.42%, yes 46.58% Anarcho-Socialist Sep 2014 #33

that area is about the most heavily SNP part of Scotland. Ken Burch Sep 2014 #39

Whatever the percentage, I hope Yes manages a victory. Oakenshield Sep 2014 #34

(True). It's looking like they won't be in the short term, at the least. Ken Burch Sep 2014 #35

Inverclyde - Yes 50.08%, no 49.92% Anarcho-Socialist Sep 2014 #36

That hurts. Another vote to trust Cameron. Ken Burch Sep 2014 #37

Dundee - Yes 57% No 43% Anarcho-Socialist Sep 2014 #40

The "Yes" is only 7,000 votes down overall with that result. Ken Burch Sep 2014 #42

Renfrewshire - No 53% Yes 47% Anarcho-Socialist Sep 2014 #41

West Dunbartonshire - Yes 54% No 46% Anarcho-Socialist Sep 2014 #43

The Yes carries West Dumbartonshire Ken Burch Sep 2014 #44

Midlothian - No 56 Yes 44 Anarcho-Socialist Sep 2014 #45

Midlothian votes no Ken Burch Sep 2014 #46

After a rush of results - 17 out of 32 declared, it's 56% No, 44% Yes muriel_volestrangler Sep 2014 #47

In case people didn't see this earlier, this was a "poll" shown on CNN: Ken Burch Sep 2014 #48

LOL! LeftishBrit Sep 2014 #51

Typical for CNN oberliner Sep 2014 #57

With Glasgow in, it's 54% No, 46% Yes muriel_volestrangler Sep 2014 #49

Alex Salmond has resigned as 1st Minister T_i_B Sep 2014 #60

If Scottish Labour had STAYED Labour, rather than going Blairite on orders from London, Ken Burch Sep 2014 #61

Nicola Sturgeon confirmed as new SNP leader T_i_B Oct 2014 #63

I understand that she was Salmond's choice for successor. Ken Burch Oct 2014 #64

Nobody else stood.... T_i_B Oct 2014 #65

The grim reaper is knocking for Scottish Labour T_i_B Oct 2014 #66