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Response to T_i_B (Original post)

Thu May 5, 2016, 07:12 AM

39. I'll vote this evening in the Scottish parliament elections.

There's been a steady stream of election addresses through the door, though no accompanying canvassers, but Jackie Baillie (Labour) did a fly-by visit to the village shops a few weeks ago, to no great acclaim. Funnily enough, there are no streetlamp posters for Labour around here, though the SNP and Conservatives have been busy.

Baillie's address, as would be expected on past form, went in hard on Trident jobs at Faslane - an issue on which she's out of step with Scottish Labour nowadays, which has voted against its replacement. Unfortunately, even if she loses her constituency MSP seat to the SNP, she's top of the regional list, so we won't see the back of her. Her address also claimed she'd gotten hold of evidence of a secret plot to close facilities at the area's main hospital, the Vale of Leven - not the first time she's tried to capitalize on fears around similar issues. She even tried to make capital a year or two ago about a terrible extended MRSA outbreak at the hospital - the only hitch for those who were paying attention being that the outbreak occurred when Labour were in power up here.

The Scottish Tories are playing up their leader, Ruth Davidson, as the only credible "strong opposition" to the SNP. It's striking that although there are some streetlamp Tory posters clearly advertising the Conservative and Unionist Party, many of them only carry her name on a blue background with no clear party affiliation shown. Must be after really low-attention voters.

The Greens aren't standing at constituency level round here. They may possibly pick up a regional list seat, but with Ross Greer, who I don't want to see anywhere near Holyrood, at the top of their list, they ain't getting my list vote.

The Lib Dems have been very quiet. Some of our independence-supporting papers have been trying to play up the prospects of RISE, "Scotland's Left Alliance", which is only standing in the regional lists. Its polling has been very poor, so the prospects of winning even one seat are very slim.

The SNP's address was unique among them all, as it was the only one to focus entirely on the party's own record and ambitions for the future. The others mentioned the SNP numerous times, and not in flattering terms, contravening the Salmond Rule that you avoid mentioning your opponents in your campaign literature as far as possible, as you're likely just giving them publicity.

The SNP are expected to win another majority. Expectations have moderated a little compared to a few months ago when the party stood at around 60% in the polls. Most credible predictions put them on 69 or 70 seats, but that sort of overall outright majority hinges on the regional list votes, which are very difficult to predict.

There's an outside possibility that UKIP may squeak a regional list seat in Highlands and Islands. If they do, then utter bampot clown David Coburn, who won an MEP seat in the last Euro elections thanks to anti-SNP tactical voting driven by Labour, will be gracing Holyrood, and likely to command headlines with the sorts of ludicrous and distasteful outbursts that have driven even other UKIP candidates to despair, and in some cases resignation.

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T_i_B Apr 2016 OP
non sociopath skin Apr 2016 #1
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LeftishBrit Apr 2016 #2
Denzil_DC Apr 2016 #3
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04alsabi Apr 2016 #6
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T_i_B Apr 2016 #9
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Ken Burch Apr 2016 #18
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LeftishBrit Apr 2016 #12
04alsabi Apr 2016 #13
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Ironing Man Apr 2016 #14
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04alsabi May 2016 #35
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Ironing Man May 2016 #36
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non sociopath skin May 2016 #45
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LineReply I'll vote this evening in the Scottish parliament elections.
Denzil_DC May 2016 #39
LeftishBrit May 2016 #41
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T_i_B May 2016 #44
Denzil_DC May 2016 #47
non sociopath skin May 2016 #50
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