Democrats will definitely have at least 51 seats in the US Senate after 2022. [View all]

[nkpolitics1212]

37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)HI(Schatz-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)CT(Blumenthal-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)12/2022 runoff.

The 52nd seat will be either OH(Ryan-D) or WI(Barnes-D). I classify both of these races as Tossup.
OH is a red state. In WI, we need to see more public opinion polls to make a right decision.