Science

mnhtnbb

(33,443 posts)

3. I'm 64. I lived in Southern California from 1965-88.

Sat Oct 10, 2015, 11:36 AM

Oct 2015

I was a student at UCLA when the Sylmar quake hit in 1971. My roommate and I thought it
was the end of the world when we woke up at 6 am to the shaking...and shaking...and shaking.
Even at 6.7, that was not a "big one", although there were deaths and major collapse of
buildings at both Olive View Med Center and the VA in the SF Valley.

Yes, there was also the Northridge quake in 1994--also a 6.7. But I still think CA is overdue for a big one and it
very well could happen in the next 20 years (my expected lifetime).

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I had a discussion with a colleague today, about the likelihood of a major earthquake in California [View all] darkangel218 Oct 2015 OP

Define "our" lifetime. n/t Wilms Oct 2015 #1

Well, lets say, within the next 40 years darkangel218 Oct 2015 #2

The math cannot render that level of precision rjsquirrel Oct 2015 #5

Very true darkangel218 Oct 2015 #8

Currently the USGS gives a 7% chance of an 8.0 or larger in CA in next 30 years. mnhtnbb Oct 2015 #9

Thank you ou for the links darkangel218 Oct 2015 #11

I thought it was interesting they reduced the chances of the mid-level earthquakes mnhtnbb Oct 2015 #16

I'm 64. I lived in Southern California from 1965-88. mnhtnbb Oct 2015 #3

I agree with you. darkangel218 Oct 2015 #7

Cali IS a major earthquake! Scuba Oct 2015 #4

Hehehehehehe!! darkangel218 Oct 2015 #6

Where in California? SheilaT Oct 2015 #10

Anywhere/everywhere. darkangel218 Oct 2015 #12

See answer 9 above. SheilaT Oct 2015 #13

Apparently that report I linked indicates chances are higher in northern CA mnhtnbb Oct 2015 #17

Somewhere in between "Very" and "Remotely" Yo_Mama Oct 2015 #14

Not much time left in my lifetime. Downwinder Oct 2015 #15

I live 15 miles from the San Andreas fault. LastLiberal in PalmSprings Oct 2015 #18