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2016 Postmortem

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)

11. You are not taking into account the effect of the early states on the later contests.

Reply to Gothmog (Reply #10)

Mon Jan 25, 2016, 05:38 PM

Jan 2016

If the air of inevitability falls away from Hillary, so will her support. Many voters in the later states are not really paying attention yet. Hillary still gets a lot of name recognition support.

He can pick up delegates later. The first thing on the list to do is to prove Hillary is not the inevitable candidate.

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16 replies

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Highlight:

First Read-Clinton's geographical advantage in Iowa [View all] Gothmog Jan 2016 OP

Agreed. Motown_Johnny Jan 2016 #1

We will see if this works Gothmog Jan 2016 #5

Not gonna be easy. No doubt about it. Motown_Johnny Jan 2016 #6

kick Dawson Leery Jan 2016 #2

Geography tends to be very important in this sort of race KingFlorez Jan 2016 #3

Sanders would need to win 70 percent of Iowa's delegates...to even "be on track" to stay competitive Gothmog Jan 2016 #4

I disagree with the premise. Motown_Johnny Jan 2016 #7

You are wrong Gothmog Jan 2016 #10

You are not taking into account the effect of the early states on the later contests. Motown_Johnny Jan 2016 #11

Motown, it'd not be nearly enough for "the air of inevitability" Hortensis Jan 2016 #12

Running a precinct caucus sounds fascinating. Hortensis Jan 2016 #8

My caucus started at 7PM and I was not done until 11 PM Gothmog Jan 2016 #13

K & R Iliyah Jan 2016 #9

Caucuses mystify me. wildeyed Jan 2016 #14

Speaking as a Hillary supporter, I don't agree that the point about delegates from college towns StevieM Jan 2016 #15

The key issue in the caucus is who gets the most delegates Gothmog Jan 2016 #16