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Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
12. Motown, it'd not be nearly enough for "the air of inevitability"
Mon Jan 25, 2016, 06:27 PM
Jan 2016

to fall away from Hillary for her support to "fall away." That is wishful thinking.

Her delegates, of course, would go nowhere until Bernie was literally proving he was likely to be the nominee who could defeat the GOP candidate with a series of dramatic wins pointing to a likely electoral majority.

Even less so would her voter support fall away because of marginal victories. A truly misunderstood situation. A lot of Bernie supporters are newly engaged, others have voted before but are newly excited at what he promises, some are, frankly, fickle and uninformed people who swing in the breeze. And some are good citizens who are solidly committed.

In contrast, your suggestion that Hillary's supporters would "fall away" at the mere lack of "inevitability" suggests that you do not understand the more solid and wide-spread base of support that Hillary has compared to Bernie's.

Many of Bernie's supporters are not even yet registered to vote. He has a far more narrow base, and some blocks, such as the youth vote, are notorious for not bothering to vote (he's working on that!). Many of those turning out for Bernie's rallies and say they are excited by them have not actually decided on a candidate... Still.

Hillary's supporters in comparison are much more likely to intend to vote for HER, to be registered voters, to have voted before, and to intend to show up on polling day. As one, I can tell you the the notion that I would suddenly flit to another, suddenly more appealing candidate is ridiculous. When my candidate does badly, I make some guacamole, grab a glass of wine, and submerge my worries in Downton Abbey reruns. I don't change.

The good news is that, if somehow Bernie did win the nomination, Hillary's more solid blocks would in very large part become Bernie supporters for the general. For most of us, it's democracy versus plutofascism. I thought maybe I invented that word, but not quite, so how about plutocorporatoreligiofascism? All major forces we need to put back in their boxes in order to do our duty by our republic, and children, in any case.

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