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CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
31. They polled "adults". Not likely voters? Likely caucus goers?
Thu Jan 28, 2016, 10:32 AM
Jan 2016

Has anyone found any more detailed info on their samples?

All of that can make such a difference.

Yesterday's Quinnipiac poll used Iowa voter lists and the first question asked was, "Do you plan to attend your Iowa caucuses?" Those who said no, were not polled. Same methods used by Selzer's Iowa Poll. That poll was sound.

I'm not saying that this poll isn't. I can't find any info. If anyone knows, could you please post here.

I saw on twitter both campaigns expect Hillary to win Iowa because his supporters hrmjustin Jan 2016 #1
Hillary's support is more widespread along Iowa's 99 counties. DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #2
WOW!!! Seems like he's doing this just for the rally screen shots uponit7771 Jan 2016 #13
LOL. You keep thinking that. Fawke Em Jan 2016 #23
I saw. It is a good plan for Sanders but it remains to be seen if it helps. hrmjustin Jan 2016 #24
I teach at one of these universities. cab67 Jan 2016 #53
In South Carolina, Clinton is winning the African American vote by 57 points (74% to 17%). Alfresco Jan 2016 #3
Alfresco, my fine friend, I am cautiously optimistic about Iowa. DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #4
I am too, but in the long run IA and NH matter little. IMHO :-) Alfresco Jan 2016 #7
+1, Sanders can win both... lose IA by 10+ and the gnashing of teeth would overwhelm this place uponit7771 Jan 2016 #12
It's coming. Everyone (DNC, Media, Establishment...) conspired against Bernie. Invest in tinfoil :) Alfresco Jan 2016 #19
The candidate who loses both... zanana1 Jan 2016 #79
Once they get to know him... firebrand80 Jan 2016 #20
Acutally, they already like him, they just aren't sure he's viable. Fawke Em Jan 2016 #26
What makes you believe this will happen? firebrand80 Jan 2016 #47
Obama being black played a part in it KingFlorez Jan 2016 #83
Bernie still can't connect with AA voters. DCBob Jan 2016 #27
I dunno about that RoccoR5955 Jan 2016 #58
GREAT news. Thanks riversedge Jan 2016 #87
Great news! Sancho Jan 2016 #5
Agree on the rural HRC support. DaGimpster Jan 2016 #6
Good morning...It is my understanding the pop vote in the IA caucus is never released. DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #9
I had refresh from 2008! Been a while :) DaGimpster Jan 2016 #35
The media always reports MrChuck Jan 2016 #40
I'll never understand the caucus system! MoonRiver Jan 2016 #71
Thank you for posting this Gothmog Jan 2016 #8
Martin may be a nice guy Cartoonist Jan 2016 #10
He and his supporters in caucus states should keep on. I am voting for him in the primary. KittyWampus Jan 2016 #16
He certainly knows what you are saying, but I think he is running to gain name recognition for Cal33 Jan 2016 #34
Sanders managers excuse for SC, " Sanders isn't well known..." (mine)... no, Sanders is known uponit7771 Jan 2016 #11
LOL Robbins Jan 2016 #14
Do what? Bobbie Jo Jan 2016 #78
Why isn't O'Malley gaining any traction? KittyWampus Jan 2016 #15
Bernie Sanders has done a remarkable of job consolidating the Anybody But Clinton coalition. DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #18
DU rec...nt SidDithers Jan 2016 #17
Hillary cakewalks to the nomination with these two victories. oasis Jan 2016 #21
If Hillary wins SC that big, Bernie may never catch up. Renew Deal Jan 2016 #30
I'm crossing my fingers it happens. nt oasis Jan 2016 #76
They also polled NH, which is the early state which knows Bernie Sanders the best. Eric J in MN Jan 2016 #22
i will congratulate the senator for his victory there. DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #25
Hillary Clinton is seeking a last minute additional debate in NH. She didn't surrender NH. (NT) Eric J in MN Jan 2016 #32
She should. I am conceding it now./nt DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #42
Yeah, we're going to let Hillary win South Carolina to assuage her fi-fis - nt KingCharlemagne Jan 2016 #48
Her... DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #52
I'd point out Jarqui Jan 2016 #28
I would point out what the respective campaigns are saying DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #33
that's got nothing to do with retrowire Jan 2016 #41
We are discussing who will will win, are we not? DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #46
that's better. nt retrowire Jan 2016 #51
Thank you, sir or madame, I am trying not to be unnecessarily quarrelsome. DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #54
If you're in a fight, you fight Jarqui Jan 2016 #44
All that is fine. sir, but I am just pointing to the fact both campaigns... DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #49
They're in a statistical tie. Jarqui Jan 2016 #56
This is going to be a really awkward caucus this cycle if... DaGimpster Jan 2016 #38
Most of the polls are that way Jarqui Jan 2016 #45
The age break seems to be about 50 for that? DaGimpster Jan 2016 #63
The older the women, the more they tend to support Hillary. Jarqui Jan 2016 #65
K & R SunSeeker Jan 2016 #29
They polled "adults". Not likely voters? Likely caucus goers? CoffeeCat Jan 2016 #31
Most polls I've seen skew/weigh 75-80% older voters. That said... DaGimpster Jan 2016 #37
But any poll that makes editorial judgments about who will and who will not show up CoffeeCat Jan 2016 #50
Somewhat interesting side note on polling likely caucus goers. DaGimpster Jan 2016 #61
That's crazy! CoffeeCat Jan 2016 #66
Until this caucus cycle DaGimpster Jan 2016 #67
lol you don't like quinnipiac anymore I see. XD nt retrowire Jan 2016 #36
I never liked quinnipiac polls. DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #57
both campaigns said that sanders is behind? retrowire Jan 2016 #62
I will be the bigger... DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #64
but the facts do not bear that out CoffeeCat Jan 2016 #68
I merely cited what the New York Times reported. DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #72
LOL! I just don't see a quote CoffeeCat Jan 2016 #74
Okay, I saw post 72 as instructed retrowire Jan 2016 #75
With all due respect DSB... retrowire Jan 2016 #70
Please see Post 72 DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #73
Great news DSB! workinclasszero Jan 2016 #39
The poll that will be released next Tuesday will MineralMan Jan 2016 #43
No, the snow is predicted for early Tuesday morning CoffeeCat Jan 2016 #69
Could be. Weather is unpredictable. MineralMan Jan 2016 #86
I said it before and I will say it again, if Bernie loses Iowa the race is over. JRLeft Jan 2016 #55
K&R! stonecutter357 Jan 2016 #59
K & R Iliyah Jan 2016 #60
Where is New Hampshire and Nevada? Ed Suspicious Jan 2016 #77
K&R. lunamagica Jan 2016 #80
In 2008, Obama led a Revoltuion. Low turn out will call in doubt a 2016 Revolution... Agnosticsherbet Jan 2016 #81
So even excluding first time voters Clinton is barely ahead of Sanders? Betty Karlson Jan 2016 #82
I feel like with a close win or strong second in IA and a win in NH Arkana Jan 2016 #84
That CNN poll which showed HRC 8 points down of which the corporate media Iliyah Jan 2016 #85
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