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2016 Postmortem

CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)

16. Tell me, which of any of the March primaries and caucuses is...

Reply to Vote2016 (Reply #13)

Mon Mar 21, 2016, 11:58 AM

Mar 2016

Last edited Mon Mar 21, 2016, 01:03 PM - Edit history (1)

...Sanders going to win big enough to cut into Clinton's lead? Remember, virtual ties and close wins no longer cut it.

Since the answer is "none" what that means is that by the end of March 6 more state opportunities will have come and gone without any progress in catching Clinton meaning that Bernie will have to win the remaining states by even larger margins.

His best opportunity is to win big, delegate rich states in a dramatic fashion. However, there are only of those states two left: California where Sanders is behind by 13% and New York where he is behind by more 30%.

Sanders has absolutely no clear path victory - none.

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Highlight:

Sanders top pick in Tuesday's Utah caucuses, poll says [View all] Attorney in Texas Mar 2016 OP

Hillary will crush him in Arizona and lengthen her delegate lead. Trust Buster Mar 2016 #1

Sounds about right. Demographics favor him in the next week or two. DanTex Mar 2016 #2

Pyrrhic victories in low pop states workinclasszero Mar 2016 #7

Yeah, but it will keep DU entertaining firebrand80 Mar 2016 #9

True workinclasszero Mar 2016 #10

why do you say Pyrrhic? PaulaFarrell Mar 2016 #17

It just does him no good workinclasszero Mar 2016 #18

that not the meaning of pyrrhic n/t PaulaFarrell Mar 2016 #19

It's a caucus state and Bernie does best in those states book_worm Mar 2016 #3

When you have more supporters and more enthusiastic supporters, you generally regardless of whether Attorney in Texas Mar 2016 #5

I wish Arizona looked as good for Bernie Funtatlaguy Mar 2016 #4

It's a betting market; betting markets favor the Goliath over the underdog. Attorney in Texas Mar 2016 #6

Under 60% = Win for Hillary firebrand80 Mar 2016 #8

no, he needs to average 57%. no specific race has to reach 60% Vote2016 Mar 2016 #14

In every contest that he doesn't hit that number firebrand80 Mar 2016 #15

and in every contest where Sanders exceeds that goal (thanks Democrats Abroad!) the goal goes down! Vote2016 Mar 2016 #20

Don't get your hopes up CajunBlazer Mar 2016 #11

we should worry about Nate's predictions because he's been wrong so often in 2016 that he's overdue Vote2016 Mar 2016 #13

Tell me, which of any of the March primaries and caucuses is... CajunBlazer Mar 2016 #16

kick & rec #5 Vote2016 Mar 2016 #12