2016 Postmortem

NJCher

(35,647 posts)

52. Excellent point, art

Tue Mar 22, 2016, 04:00 AM

Mar 2016

I had not thought about it that way before.

In light of what you say, then, why would any Democrat want to discount the votes in half the country? There is something fundamentally wrong with such a thinking process.

I also don't understand people who tell us what is going to happen and that it is what it is. I quit thinking that way a long time ago. About the time I feel certainty about anything, I find that life hands me a lesson telling me otherwise.

The truth of the matter is, it's hard to live with uncertainty.

Hmm, I think I just wrote myself into an explanation for a possible reason people do that.

Cher

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There is a 99.99% chance that Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic Nominee. [View all] KMOD Mar 2016 OP

83.5% of all statistics are just made up. n/t PoliticAverse Mar 2016 #1

^^ Awesome ^^ nt revbones Mar 2016 #2

How do you know. Have you met that IT guy? bkkyosemite Mar 2016 #3

All Hillary's got left is the illusion of inevitability. On policy, she's awful. reformist2 Mar 2016 #4

Not, apparently to most Democrats. brooklynite Mar 2016 #12

MOST democrats haven't voted yet. basselope Mar 2016 #28

The Democratic primary is absolutely about Democrats. KMOD Mar 2016 #30

This would be news to the several states that have "open" primaries. PoliticAverse Mar 2016 #39

and yet, KMOD Mar 2016 #40

and yet the majority of states havent voted. basselope Mar 2016 #49

On policy, Hillary's a fucking train wreck, John Poet Mar 2016 #53

There is a 99.9% chance that tomorrow is going to be Tuesday. jillan Mar 2016 #5

Whatever the actual number is AgerolanAmerican Mar 2016 #6

Good for you and your spiritual mentor Ralph Nader nt geek tragedy Mar 2016 #8

LOL!!! Beacool Mar 2016 #9

Awww. NurseJackie Mar 2016 #55

Then step off. nt Codeine Mar 2016 #56

lol KMOD Mar 2016 #7

Probabilities like this are not "facts", that's a fact. n/t PoliticAverse Mar 2016 #14

OK, tell me how Bernie can miraculously overcome the math. KMOD Mar 2016 #16

If .01% separated slim and none we would still be crossing the ocean on wooden ships under sail. cherokeeprogressive Mar 2016 #18

Yeah, and the NY Jets would have won another KMOD Mar 2016 #21

Democracy. cherokeeprogressive Mar 2016 #35

You're changing what's being discussed. We're discussing the probability of Hillary Clinton PoliticAverse Mar 2016 #19

May be. Let's hope she's not indicted. EndElectoral Mar 2016 #10

You need to understand, KMOD Mar 2016 #13

I can't predict the future or I would have never thought Bush would be a two term President EndElectoral Mar 2016 #15

It's just not going to happen. KMOD Mar 2016 #17

You seem to have a lack of real undertanding of probability. The probability... PoliticAverse Mar 2016 #22

I agree. KMOD Mar 2016 #24

So... OilemFirchen Mar 2016 #11

Gee - pure as Ivory soap. 840high Mar 2016 #20

The Ivory Soap claim is 99.44% pure. So a Clinton nomination is apparently purer... PoliticAverse Mar 2016 #25

LOL - of course. 840high Mar 2016 #50

. longship Mar 2016 #23

And there is a 100% chance that I won't vote for her basselope Mar 2016 #26

And there is -0- chance that I would vote for BS Iliyah Mar 2016 #42

Yes.. beceause he is a good candidate basselope Mar 2016 #48

57 experts agree. pa28 Mar 2016 #27

WOW! We are in for the MOST EPIC FAIL OF ALL TIME! Kip Humphrey Mar 2016 #29

Maybe you are, KMOD Mar 2016 #32

Here are some fighting words for ya. THOSE WERE THE ODDS IN MICHIGAN!!! highprincipleswork Mar 2016 #31

Yeah, but math. KMOD Mar 2016 #33

I'm not about the math. I'm about trying to do what's right and voting for same. highprincipleswork Mar 2016 #36

The overwhelming majority of Democrats KMOD Mar 2016 #38

Cannot explain why they are so in the dark, but that is not going to change my sense of what is highprincipleswork Mar 2016 #41

We are not in the dark, KMOD Mar 2016 #44

Have you checked this out recently? You're in favor? highprincipleswork Mar 2016 #54

In that case... 4nic8em Mar 2016 #45

The majority of *ahem* Southern Democrats Art_from_Ark Mar 2016 #46

Excellent point, art NJCher Mar 2016 #52

hey DU sis! steve2470 Mar 2016 #34

Hello my sweet brother, KMOD Mar 2016 #37

K & R Iliyah Mar 2016 #43

Given Nate Silver's credibility on 99% sure wins, Betty Karlson Mar 2016 #47

Keep telling yourself that if you feel so scared to... DemocracyDirect Mar 2016 #51

Then America deserves what it gets. nt VulgarPoet Mar 2016 #57

a veritable bernie-math tie DrDan Mar 2016 #58

There's a 100% chance I'll never see another post of yours nt BernieforPres2016 Mar 2016 #59

I'd put Clinton's chance lower, but even a very high probability isn't the same as certainty Jim Lane Mar 2016 #60

Let's hope it is the same 99% that she won Michigan by. pdsimdars Mar 2016 #61