2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: DK: Is It Game Over for Hillary? [View all]kenn3d
(486 posts)But also consider...
2.5 million votes is only @1.7% of the number of registered voters who cast ballots in the 2012 Presidential Election.
Her total votes (to-date) in the Primary race is @6.2% of that electorate, and Bernie's is @4.5%.
It's still a long way to November, but there are a gawdawful lot of Indies in that 146+ million registered voters (Gallup says Independents make up 43%, with Dems @30% and Repubs @26%) and polls indicate that many of them won't be voting for Hillary. Bernie would get a big share of them.
226 PDs (Hillary's current lead) is just 5.6% in a Primary race with 20 States (incl the 2 largest), 22 Elections and 43% of the total Delegates remaining to be determined. If she hits every target that 538.com set for her from here on out, she'll be 265 delegates short of the clinch (2,382 Needed to Win)
Bernie won the last 5 states in the contest by an avg of 76.3%. He's campaigning like the very future of our country depended on it, (which of course a great many of us believe it does), and he's got the $teady re$ources of millions of common voters to carry him all the way to the convention without taking any time out for lavish fundraisers. I gotta think some of these donor class folk are wondering if their money's been well-spent.
She is not inevitable anymore. But I don't think she's likely to drop out (because of Bernie) before June 8th at the earliest.
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