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2016 Postmortem

jg10003

(1,062 posts)

28. If after Trump is nominated and before the Dem convention starts....

Reply to geek tragedy (Reply #27)

Wed Mar 30, 2016, 12:31 AM

Mar 2016

polls show Hillary with a 5 point lead over Trump and Sanders with a 15 point lead (along with being the only candidate whose favorability rating is over 50%).

The primaries will be ancient history by then. Politicians are loyal when its convenient, and fairness doesn't win elections. And since winning is the only thing that matters, super-delegates would likely place their bet on the horse with the best odds.

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Does Bernie Sanders have a realistic path to victory? [View all] 21st Century Poet Mar 2016 OP

Try subtracting super delegates from the count the MSM is using. It's not only doable it's probable. onecaliberal Mar 2016 #1

It is doable but hardly probable MadBadger Mar 2016 #6

Perhaps you should STOP listening to the media and do a little math while you're looking at what's onecaliberal Mar 2016 #8

I'm not listening to the media, I'm looking at the schedule MadBadger Mar 2016 #10

Time will tell? California is the biggest prize of all in June. onecaliberal Mar 2016 #11

She doesnt need everybody (just most) to change. And anybody who doesnt knows where the door is MadBadger Mar 2016 #12

Thanks for proving your OP is full of it. I thought so, but you were way too easy onecaliberal Mar 2016 #13

I am a democrat and will support the democratic nominee. What about you? MadBadger Mar 2016 #16

Try this Perogie Mar 2016 #2

Thanks for the link MadBadger Mar 2016 #15

Thank you for that link. 21st Century Poet Mar 2016 #17

The problem with your question is swilton Mar 2016 #3

Of course he can. Dozens of superdelegates switched from Clinton to Obama Liberty Belle Mar 2016 #4

The Hillary bird is a vulture capitalist / FlatBaroque Mar 2016 #7

If you're going to argue based on the "popular vote"... CalvinballPro Mar 2016 #22

Actually I think if he won either the popular vote or the most pledged delgates awarded by voters, Liberty Belle Mar 2016 #24

No. States containing 25% of the U.S. Population vote in the next three weeks. onehandle Mar 2016 #5

Yes. It's called "votes". cherokeeprogressive Mar 2016 #9

It's statistically unlikely, but it's still possible. gollygee Mar 2016 #14

Yes, but it won't be easy nadinbrzezinski Mar 2016 #18

Bernie has to win out by an average of 57.3% to win a majority of the pledged delegates DrDan Mar 2016 #19

Thank you. 21st Century Poet Mar 2016 #20

That depends ibegurpard Mar 2016 #21

In order for Sanders to win he needs to win the large population hrmjustin Mar 2016 #23

he has a severely improbable one. geek tragedy Mar 2016 #25

"and then win 75% of the vote in California" Cali_Democrat Mar 2016 #33

Bernie needs 56.5% of remaining pledged delegates to win a majority. jg10003 Mar 2016 #26

there is no way in hell that the superdelegates would help Sanders steal the nomination geek tragedy Mar 2016 #27

If after Trump is nominated and before the Dem convention starts.... jg10003 Mar 2016 #28

No, if Clinton has a majority of pledged delegates, Sanders will formally endorse her. geek tragedy Mar 2016 #29

I remember a lot of anger about superdelegates here a few weeks ago. athena Mar 2016 #34

Realistic? No. Garrett78 Mar 2016 #30

Depends on what you mean by "realistic" Recursion Mar 2016 #31

the general consensus from the M$M that are all in for Hillary. What do you think they're litlbilly Mar 2016 #32