2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: That "contested convention" thing? Rubbish. [View all]MineralMan
(147,166 posts)At the greenpapers site, O'Malley appears to have one superdelegate listed. But he has no pledged delegates. That's because of the 15% cutoff for pledged delegate allocation in all 50 states. He's come nowhere near that percentage of caucus or primary votes in any state so far.
He won't in any of the upcoming ones, either, even if his name is on the ballot. 15%. That's the minimum for being awarded a pledged delegate.
So, no, it is impossible at this point that a candidate will not have a majority of pledged delegates by convention time. Even if a delegate cannot attend the national convention, there are alternate delegates from each state who can step in and who will be held to the same pledged support as the absent delegate.
It's all very orderly and certain, really.
The final allocations of pledged delegates are not yet known, but will reflect the votes of the people, according to the rules in each state. Rounding can cause some inexact allocations, of course, but we'll know the totals before the convention. All of the state conventions will have been held well in advance of the convention date.