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DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Retired » Retired Forums » 2016 Postmortem (Forum) » 10/27 Update on early vot... » Reply #7

Response to demwing (Reply #6)

Sat Oct 27, 2012, 09:42 PM

7. another way to look at this

 

We lose about 22% of our 2008 lead each 5th day--it's uncanny. At 5 days we were 22% down, at 10 days we are 44% down.

If, at the end of 20 days of early voting, the trend has held, we'll have lost 88% of our 2008 margin. If true, the 267132 vote margin we held in 2008 will be reduced to about 58,769 votes.

Which will translate into a 1 - 2% win!!! Booyah!

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grantcart Oct 2012 OP
CoffeeCat Oct 2012 #1
grantcart Oct 2012 #3
LisaL Oct 2012 #2
Kteachums Oct 2012 #4
David Zephyr Oct 2012 #5
grantcart Oct 2012 #8
goclark Nov 2012 #13
demwing Oct 2012 #6
LineLineReply another way to look at this
demwing Oct 2012 #7
onenote Nov 2012 #24
grantcart Oct 2012 #11
demwing Oct 2012 #12
onenote Nov 2012 #23
beac Oct 2012 #9
grantcart Oct 2012 #10
faithfulcitizen Nov 2012 #14
grantcart Nov 2012 #15
faithfulcitizen Nov 2012 #16
blue-kite Nov 2012 #17
grantcart Nov 2012 #18
goclark Nov 2012 #20
TroyD Nov 2012 #19
VirginiaTarheel Nov 2012 #25
chapel hill dem Nov 2012 #21
grantcart Nov 2012 #22
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