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2016 Postmortem

LonePirate

(13,417 posts)

12. National horse race polls are meaningless. State horse race polls have some value.

Reply to Svafa (Reply #4)

Wed Apr 27, 2016, 03:50 PM

Apr 2016

The map is an amalgamation of state predictions by Sabato which closer to state polls than a national one.. Given some recent state polls, Sabato should update his map.

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12 replies

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Highlight:

Hillary vs. Trump Election Projection [View all] JaneyVee Apr 2016 OP

Citation: Larry Sabato Stallion Apr 2016 #1

Which makes it even more delicious. JaneyVee Apr 2016 #3

Our faux democracy on display ymetca Apr 2016 #2

I thought it was useless to look at GE projections this early in the year? Svafa Apr 2016 #4

Bernie didnt even get nearly as many votes as Trump. JaneyVee Apr 2016 #5

Which means absolutely nothing. n/t Dawgs Apr 2016 #9

National horse race polls are meaningless. State horse race polls have some value. LonePirate Apr 2016 #12

Yes a blowout is likely Stuckinthebush Apr 2016 #6

I think those midwest states will be in danger. Ash_F Apr 2016 #7

Yes, HRC's numbers among blue-collar males are not good... Yurovsky Apr 2016 #11

I wouldn't include VA or NC for Hillary, but otherwise I would agree. Dawgs Apr 2016 #8

Trump will NOT become president...EVAH! n/t angstlessk Apr 2016 #10