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DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Retired » Retired Forums » 2016 Postmortem (Forum) » 10/27 Update on early vot... » Reply #11

Response to demwing (Reply #6)

Sun Oct 28, 2012, 05:58 PM

11. The issue comes down to whether or not Romney votes are McCain voters or


have they added new voters

As Kos points out



But here's the other part of that equation—Republican voters are some of the most reliable: wealthier, older and white. They will generally turn out come hell or high water. So it doesn't matter whether they turn out early or late. They're not adding to the GOP's vote pile.

Democratic base groups, on the other hand, are some of the least reliable voters—poor, brown and/or young. By banking early votes, Democrats can be assured that they're actually getting their unreliable voters to the polls, thus allowing them to focus GOTV efforts on those who still haven't voted.



So every Democratic vote represents locking in a more unstable voting population while a Romney vote represents simply moving a Republican vote from election day.

It is early, it will be close, but it is looking good.

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grantcart Oct 2012 OP
CoffeeCat Oct 2012 #1
grantcart Oct 2012 #3
LisaL Oct 2012 #2
Kteachums Oct 2012 #4
David Zephyr Oct 2012 #5
grantcart Oct 2012 #8
goclark Nov 2012 #13
demwing Oct 2012 #6
demwing Oct 2012 #7
onenote Nov 2012 #24
LineLineReply The issue comes down to whether or not Romney votes are McCain voters or
grantcart Oct 2012 #11
demwing Oct 2012 #12
onenote Nov 2012 #23
beac Oct 2012 #9
grantcart Oct 2012 #10
faithfulcitizen Nov 2012 #14
grantcart Nov 2012 #15
faithfulcitizen Nov 2012 #16
blue-kite Nov 2012 #17
grantcart Nov 2012 #18
goclark Nov 2012 #20
TroyD Nov 2012 #19
VirginiaTarheel Nov 2012 #25
chapel hill dem Nov 2012 #21
grantcart Nov 2012 #22
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