2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: A question for those who think Trump will defy the consensus and win in November. [View all]Exilednight
(9,359 posts)The country it will not be a cake walk for either candidate.
Florida is always trouble, and PA and OH are going to be up for grabs and VA has a good chance to go Trump.
Trump outlined his strategy for taking on Clinton, he admits that he doesn't have a good chance to win California or New York, but he's going to campaign hard in both states and force Hillary to spend money and n both - and those are the two most expensive markets in the country.
I never thought Trump would get past super Tuesday, but here we are several months later and he's now running a major political party.
Hillary's two biggest problems are white women and the Obama coalition. One of which is not voting for her and the latter who has yet to show up this election cycle.
Trump's transgressions are more of a personal nature and the type of things an electorate will forgive. Hillary's are governance transgressions (i.e. Benghazi, private email server, IWR vote) and show her ability to make good governing decisions.
People who take Trump as a chump do so at their own peril. Hillary needs every vote she can get and needs to reach out to those to the left of her like Bernie supporters and the Obama coalition.