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2016 Postmortem

machomaas

(8 posts)

3. I posted links

Reply to pnwmom (Reply #1)

Wed Sep 14, 2016, 09:03 PM

Sep 2016

to the CNN/ORC polls on another thread. BTW, if N/A is listed in one of the crosstalk it means that there were fewer than about 140 likely voters in that group. I figure that for the FL poll no more than 1/4 of the likely voter respondents were under 50. The LV screen probably kicks a lot out of the original sample.

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Stop with the "CNN didn't poll anyone under 50" [View all] Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 OP

It seems harder than it used to be to find data on the demographics of respondents. pnwmom Sep 2016 #1

I posted links machomaas Sep 2016 #3

Yes, MOE would be > 8% Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 #5

I saw that but I didn't see how many respondents they had in each category. They used to include pnwmom Sep 2016 #15

Your concern concerning this concern is concerning. eom MohRokTah Sep 2016 #2

Who's concerned? Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 #4

Fair to ask if they interviewed ENOUGH people under 50 MadBadger Sep 2016 #6

sure. always fair to ask Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 #7

MoE is calculated from sample size and they are inversely proportional. Persondem Sep 2016 #8

aware Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 #9

Agreed. It's a bad poll for us, but a legit poll. Poll truthering doesn't accomplish anything. DanTex Sep 2016 #10

I expected a point or two movement in the national polls to HRC this week Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 #11

CNN only polled 18% of voters under 50 (less than half) displacedtexan Sep 2016 #12

18% triron Sep 2016 #13

Some subgroups represent too small a share of the pop of Ohio to produce an accaptable sample error factfinder_77 Sep 2016 #14

If you're going to get into the weeds of the cross tabs on this one piechartking Sep 2016 #16

Only 18% of their sample was under 50. Less than half of what it should have been. pnwmom Sep 2016 #17