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2016 Postmortem

(13,570 posts)

7. But he left himself TWO outs: If Johnson gets below 5% or Trump being so unusual. The model might

Thu Oct 13, 2016, 07:16 PM

Oct 2016

make the prediction, but he created and interprets the model. There is subjectivity with it.

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How soon before Allan Lichtman changes his prediction? [View all] RBInMaine Oct 2016 OP

I think so too Ardoewaan Oct 2016 #1

You're right Ardoewaan Oct 2016 #3

He will not change his prediction Cicada Oct 2016 #5

Several of his categories are subjective and not empirical bluestateguy Oct 2016 #6

And will it discredit him if he is wrong? RBInMaine Oct 2016 #9

Not with me. A good model doesn't have to be perfect. Cicada Oct 2016 #11