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I think it is a composite of polls and the outlier polls that came out today showing Trump ahead Txbluedog Oct 2016 #1
No reason to be concern beachbumbob Oct 2016 #2
I'm not particularly concerned Farmgirl1961 Oct 2016 #7
Thanks - but haven't there been outlier polls all along? Farmgirl1961 Oct 2016 #3
The actual bookies have it at 82-16. trof Oct 2016 #20
Yawn leftynyc Oct 2016 #4
... alcibiades_mystery Oct 2016 #5
You really like to insult low post posters. Yet have no proof they are trolls. Just whining. n/t ScienceIsGood Oct 2016 #28
^^^^^^Fan Club^^^^^ alcibiades_mystery Oct 2016 #29
You seriously have issues. n/t ScienceIsGood Oct 2016 #31
OK there, Fan Club alcibiades_mystery Oct 2016 #32
I only follow you when you insult newer posters for simple questions. Clockwork. What a great.... ScienceIsGood Oct 2016 #34
ROFL alcibiades_mystery Oct 2016 #36
I agree you are. Insulting every new poster. Try to stop it. n/t ScienceIsGood Oct 2016 #39
I'll post how I please, Fan Club alcibiades_mystery Oct 2016 #42
"creepy, stalky behavior of some posters" describes you attacking low post members. Perfect! n/t ScienceIsGood Oct 2016 #43
Just don't send me anymore PMs alcibiades_mystery Oct 2016 #44
I get that once in awhile and it pisses me off. I'm voting Clinton but I'm not a Democrat. NoGoodNamesLeft Oct 2016 #37
alcibiades_mystery does it to every low post poster who ever posts something he does not like. n/t ScienceIsGood Oct 2016 #38
A suggestion PJMcK Oct 2016 #53
Thank you for the advice. I appreciate it! N/t ScienceIsGood Oct 2016 #54
Gee, from 99% to 98% book_worm Oct 2016 #6
it goes up... it goes down..... just depends on which polls are in the chute.. getagrip_already Oct 2016 #8
I already sent in my ballot! Farmgirl1961 Oct 2016 #11
Really Polly Hennessey Oct 2016 #52
The tide goes in, the tide goes out.You can't explain how that happens. nt tblue37 Oct 2016 #45
Remember that the 538 model is mostly based on state polling. VMA131Marine Oct 2016 #9
Its just the noise from the day to day sampling - don't sweat it. Joe941 Oct 2016 #10
Specifically jamese777 Oct 2016 #12
Technically, a lot of the uncertainty is because of undecideds whatthehey Oct 2016 #13
Another poll of Ohio showing Trump winning doesn't help, although... Buckeye_Democrat Oct 2016 #14
Yes, Pennsylvania is the key state Awsi Dooger Oct 2016 #17
One day closer Awsi Dooger Oct 2016 #15
So for any stat experts out there on DU Farmgirl1961 Oct 2016 #16
RCP averages show a bump up for HRC (both 2-way and 4-way) Roland99 Oct 2016 #18
these are very small shifts.... Adrahil Oct 2016 #19
Changed semby2 Oct 2016 #22
I just read it now Farmgirl1961 Oct 2016 #25
Relax semby2 Oct 2016 #27
I am, too, and worry when I see the slightest downturn. manicraven Oct 2016 #40
It's likely because of the reports about the cost of Obamacare going up NoGoodNamesLeft Oct 2016 #23
HA HA HA! semby2 Oct 2016 #24
I saw that...it's just kind of weird that there's a bit more volatility today Farmgirl1961 Oct 2016 #26
I'm a registered Independent swing voter in a battleground state, this matters to people like me NoGoodNamesLeft Oct 2016 #30
She's demonstrated so far that she knows exactly what she's doing emulatorloo Oct 2016 #35
I was just watching CNN interview people from North Carolina about Obamacare... NoGoodNamesLeft Oct 2016 #48
When I go on a diet, I don't weigh myself every day emulatorloo Oct 2016 #33
I check that site way too much. It was killing me when it was close NightWatcher Oct 2016 #41
don't get caught up in analyzing line noise 0rganism Oct 2016 #46
22 blue states & DC give HRC 273 Electors jamese777 Oct 2016 #47
The lower Hillary is in the polls, the more people will get out there and vote for applegrove Oct 2016 #49
The race is far from tight...but the narrative it is close works for democrats beachbumbob Oct 2016 #50
You say it so much more eloquently than me. applegrove Oct 2016 #56
I know things look good bmstee01 Oct 2016 #51
Me too! Farmgirl1961 Oct 2016 #55
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