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Foggyhill

(1,060 posts)
4. Exit polls are random actual samples of voters
Tue Nov 1, 2016, 11:13 PM
Nov 2016

When you call people it is extremely hard to get such s good sample, there is slways a bias determined by your methodology
It tends to favor older voters outside cities who are closer to GOP demos

Not only that, gotv efforts for current election and changes in demos are also reflected

At the polls you get a sample of that elusive likely voter and can have a very high confidence in the poll result. The margin of error is actually meaningful.

You don't get final results exactly unless early voting patterns are exactly like Election Day voting

That's why it also does traditional poling

That's

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»How come the result of th...»Reply #4