The Fundamental Problem with Nate Silver's Model

[Hortensis]

3. Love the conclusion. I've seen a number of people say

national polls are mostly bogus at this point and that state polls are far more reliable. Also that the best are the extremely well funded internal polls of both candidates--algorhithms fed with vast amounts of information they've been gathering about voters, right down to what kind of underwear they prefer if believed relevant.

Come to think of it, that's a correlation that would be fun to check out.